Shane McClanahan is 6-3 with a 2.85 ERA. He came back from Tommy John surgery and a nerve issue in his left triceps that cost him nearly two full seasons, and the results since returning have been the story of Tampa Bay's rotation. His ERA and FIP are within a tenth of each other at 2.85 and 2.98, no sequencing luck, no defensive carry, just consistent run prevention across every start. He's 40-25 on the year with a team that has one of the better road records in the American League, and that road record is built in part on what he gives them every fifth day.

Griffin Canning is 0-4 with a 6.34 ERA. He came to San Diego on a veteran deal that was supposed to give A.J. Preller's pitching-first roster another reliable arm. The results have been the opposite. His FIP sits at 5.08, confirming this is not a sequencing problem. His last three starts produced a FIP of 5.85. He has given up three or more earned runs in six of his ten appearances this season, and the Padres have dropped four consecutive series before recently bouncing back against the Reds.

Bryce Miller is 2-0 with a 1.33 ERA. He returned from an oblique injury that cost him the start of the season and has been the best version of himself since coming back: nine strikeouts in a 4-0 shutout over Detroit on June 6, a FIP of 2.52 that sits well behind the ERA. His last three starts produced a 1.23 FIP. That number is not sustainable over a full season, but it reflects a pitcher who is missing bats, limiting walks, and keeping the ball off the barrel at an elite rate.

While Trey Yesavage is one of the best young pitching prospects in MLB, he has been knocked around in two of his last three starts.

For Mariners righty Bryan Woo, two of his last three starts have been rough. Two starts ago, against the Royals, he allowed 4 earned runs in 4.2 innings. In his last start, he tossed 6.1 innings and gave up 9 hits and 5 earned runs. In between, he was excellent against the Diamondbacks, allowing 2 hits and no runs in 7 innings, walking none and striking out 9.

On May 8, the Cubs were 27-12 and 3.5 games in front in the NL Central. Since then, they've all but collapsed and are now barely over .500 and fading.

Kumar Rocker is 2-5 with a 3.54 ERA. The former top prospect made it back from Tommy John surgery and has flashed the kind of stuff that made him a first-round pick: a fastball that plays up in the zone, a breaking ball with genuine swing-and-miss potential. But the ERA doesn't tell the full story on either side. He has allowed six runs in 28.2 innings over his last five starts (1.88 ERA over that stretch) which represents a legitimate hot stretch. The Rangers are 32-34 overall, and while they've won seven of their last ten, they've allowed 16 runs in their three most recent losses.

Zebby Matthews is 2-3 with a 4.15 ERA. He has the kind of stuff that plays in stretches; a mid-90s fastball and enough secondary movement to miss bats against weaker lineups. The problem is the command. His FIP over his last three starts sits at 5.98 against a season number of 4.57, and that gap tells the story of a pitcher who has been leaving too many pitches in hittable counts. Minnesota has been trending cold as a team, dropping four of five before the current stretch, and Matthews hasn't done enough to carry games on his own.

Justin Wrobleski is 7-2 with a 2.62 ERA. He carried a no-hit bid into the sixth inning against the Phillies two weeks ago and threw eight shutout innings against the Mets in April. Thats the kind of starts that turn a rotation piece into a staff anchor. His FIP sits at 3.32, which tracks with a pitcher generating weak contact and keeping runners off base. The Dodgers are 43-24 and won 12-3 here Wednesday; Wrobleski steps into the series finale with the team playing its best road baseball of the season.

Brewers righty Brandon Sproat was put on notice by manager Pat Murphy after a beating at the hands of the Astros on May 30. He surrendered 5 earned runs in 4.1 innings. It came amid a run of poor starts and Murphy dished out some tough love, saying straight out they're contending and they need more from Sproat.

Jesus Luzardo got off to a rough start this season. Through four starts, he had an ERA of nearly 8. Since then, he's been consistently good for the most part. However, in his last start against the White Sox, he allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings, including 3 home runs.

Shohei Ohtani is 6-2 with a 0.74 ERA. He posted a 1.08 ERA over four May starts. He allowed one earned run over his last 24 innings. Ohtani went seven innings against the Astros on May 5. The deepest outing of his season, and he came out with 10 strikeouts and nothing to show for the opposition. His FIP sits at 2.46, confirming the ERA is not smoke and mirrors.