Last updated May 1, 10:29pm ET

  • Despite a disappointing loss in Game 5, the Warriors still lead 3-2 and have a chance to oust the Rockets at the Chase Center.
  • Meanwhile, the Rockets seek to extend the series to a seventh and final game following a dominant 131-116 win in Game 5.
  • With both squads featuring multiple scorers, we break down which players will shine in this pivotal Game 6 matchup.

The lone game on Friday’s NBA slate features the Golden State Warriors hosting the Houston Rockets. Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler III are the go-to guys for Golden State, while Alperen Sengun and Fred VanVleet power Houston’s offense. Which player will rise to the occasion and lead their respective team to victory in our Warriors vs Rockets player prop picks?

Golden State Warriors Player Prop Pick: Stephen Curry

Curry scored at least 20 points through the first three games before combining for just 30 points over the last two contests. However, given that he leads the team in scoring, I expect him to make a significant impact.

He currently has -108 odds of finishing with more than 25.5 points and -121 odds of scoring less than 25.5 points (per BetOnline). Will Curry exceed the projected points total for this matchup? Let’s take a look and find out.

  • During the regular season, Curry put up 24.5 points per game.
  • In 70 career matchups against Houston (including the playoffs), he has averaged 24.4 points per outing on 46.6 percent shooting overall and a 39 percent conversion rate from 3-point range.
  • Over his last five starts, Curry has averaged 23.4 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 6.2 assists per contest, exceeding the points total for this matchup twice during that stretch.
Pick
Stephen Curry UNDER 25.5 points
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Houston Rockets Player Prop Pick: Fred VanVleet

VanVleet has had the hot hand over the past two games, scoring 25 and 26 points, respectively, thus making him our key player to watch for the road team.

He currently has -114 odds of scoring more than 15.5 points and -114 odds of finishing with less than 15.5 points. Let’s see how his numbers compare to the projected points total.

  • During the season, VanVleet averaged 14.1 points per outing.
  • In 28 career matchups against Golden State (including the postseason), he has averaged 13.5 points per game on shooting splits of .382/.348/.931.
  • Over his last five outings, the former NBA champion has compiled averages of 17.0 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per contest, exceeding the points total for this matchup three times during that stretch.
Pick
Fred VanVleet OVER 15.5 points
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James Tillman
James Tillman

Betting Preview Analyst/Contributor

James blends 16 years of freelance writing with his accounting acumen, specializing in sports betting. He expertly crafts picks for ATS, over/under, and player props, providing valuable insights for bettors at all levels.

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