Our Mississippi State vs Georgia prediction for this NCAAF game is over 55.5, -105.
Mississippi State battles Georgia in this SEC matchup, with Georgia looking for another blowout win at home against the lesser of two Bulldogs.
Offshore Odds: Georgia Heavy Favorites At Home
Team | Spread | Money Line | Total |
---|---|---|---|
MS State | +34 (-110) | +1913 | O 55.5 (-105) |
Georgia | -34 (-110) | -10000 | U 55.5 (-115) |
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Mississippi State Flailing
Mississippi State has now lost 4 games in a row. During this losing streak, the defense has allowed at least 30 points in each game. However, the offense managed to put a decent amount of points on the board, keeping them somewhat competitive. The Bulldogs easily covered the +37.5 point spread against top-ranked Texas and held its own against other competitive teams.
In the game that Mississippi State faced Texas, they wound up losing 35-13. The defense gave up over 500 total yards, allowing at least 7 points in every quarter. The offense performed reasonably well on 3rd downs and even won the time of possession battle. While Mississippi State is likely to give up a lot of yardage again, they should be able to score points throughout the game, including during garbage time.
Georgia Defense Trending Up
Georgia is 2-1 in conference play and plays its best football at home. In 2 home games, they scored around 40 points and only allowed 3 points in each matchup. Recently, Georgia’s offensive efficiency has dipped a bit, but the defense has remained strong. Their schedule has included a mix of highly ranked teams, decent opponents, and below-average ones.
Last week, Georgia defeated Auburn 31-13. The Bulldogs scored in every quarter and controlled the game from start to finish. They didn’t turn the ball over but did commit a lot of penalties. The offensive numbers were fairly even in this game, but Georgia was simply more efficient. The Bulldogs’ offense is likely to reach the 40-plus point range against the below-average Mississippi State defense.
Mississippi State vs Georgia Prediction
Covering 34 points is a significant challenge for Georgia. Mississippi State managed to hold their own against Texas on the road, despite losing by double digits. With garbage time making things unpredictable, the over may be the best bet for this game. Georgia’s offense tends to excel at home and often puts games away early. Expect the over to hit by garbage time, with Georgia winning confidently.
Pick
Over 55.5 (-105)
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