Last updated Mar 21, 4:32am ET

Portugal will have a big challenge on their hands to overturn a first-leg disadvantage against Denmark on Sunday, March 23, 2025.

The Danes were good value for their win on home soil on Thursday, with Man United forward Rasmus Hojlund netting the winner with just 12 minutes remaining.

Denmark dominated the match from the opening minute, and arguably should have a bigger advantage to defend in Lisbon on Sunday. But, Portugal will remain the heavy favorites to progress through to the finals despite the defeat in Copenhagen.

Odds

Match ResultOdds
Portugal-172
Draw+300
Denmark+465

Honors Even in H2H Record

TotalDenmarkPortugalDraws
Games9441
Nations League Games1100
Goals281414 

Thursday’s clash between the sides was a first meeting since October 2015. The win for Denmark ended a three-game losing sequence against Portugal, and it was also their first victory against their opponents since October 2011.

But, away wins against their opponents have been a rarity throughout history.

Portugal Team News

Roberto Martinez will have a big decision to make this weekend, as Cristiano Ronaldo looked off the pace in Copenhagen on Thursday.

Rafael Leao is also likely to be dropped after a below-par performance. Bernardo Silva could be recalled, while Goncalo Inacio is also pushing for a start.

Possible Lineup

D. Carlos (GK); N. Semedo, R. Dias, G. Inacio, N. Mendes, Vitinha, B. Silva, P Neto, B. Fernandes, J. Felix, C. Ronaldo

Denmark Team News

Rasmus Hojlund could be rewarded for his match-winning performance by gaining a recall to the starting eleven.

Christian Eriksen will retain his place after an excellent performance in Copenhagen, while Mikkel Damsgaard could also be handed a start in Lisbon.

Possible Lineup

K. Schmeichel (GK); R. Nissen, J. Andersen, J. Vestergaard, J. Maehle, M. Hjulmand, C. Norgaard, M, Damsgaard, C. Eriksen, J. Lindstrom, R. Hojlund

Portugal vs. Denmark Picks

Denmark have typically been able to compete against the better nations in the world, but replicating the excellent performance that they showed on Thursday could be challenging on the road.

Therefore, we expect Portugal to gain a two-goal victory inside 90 minutes to secure their spot in the finals.

Pick
Portugal (-172)
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Alex Dudley
Alex Dudley

Sports Analyst and Betting Expert

Alex has over 15 years of experience in sports betting, specializing in soccer and horse racing. He uses his deep knowledge of markets and strategies to guide readers through disciplined and informed betting.

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