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Our Rockets vs Thunder prediction for this NBA game is Rockets +8.5, -110.

The Rockets battle the Thunder in this Western Conference matchup. Houston’s offense is trending up, and Oklahoma City is 3-0 at home.

Offshore Odds: Rockets Are Heavy Underdogs on The Road

TeamSpreadMoney LineTotal
Rockets+8.5 (-110)+280O 219 (-110)
Thunder-8.5 (-110)-350U 219 (-110)
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Rockets Need to Pass More

The Rockets are 2-1 on the road and have won four of their last five games. Houston’s offense is trending upward, and their last two victories were by double digits. In their most recent game, the Rockets scored their second-highest point total of the season with 127 and shot an impressive 56 percent from the field. Both the offense and defense are putting together complete, effective quarters.

Houston’s defensive rating is ranked fourth in the NBA, while their offensive rating is seventh. While the offense is clicking, a key statistic is limiting the Rockets’ offensive potential: Houston ranks second to last in the league in assist percentage. If they can improve in this area, better ball movement could lead to even more efficient offense. Fortunately, the Rockets’ offensive rebounding has helped boost their production.

Free Throws Can Fix Offensive Issues

The Thunder are tied for the best record in the Western Conference and have played their best basketball at home. All three of their home wins have been by double digits, and their defense has allowed 93 points or fewer in two of those games. While the Oklahoma City offense has only exploded a couple of times this season, the team definitely relies more on its defense.

Oklahoma City’s three-point shooting has been strong, but they need to start generating more free throw attempts. The Thunder currently rank last in free throw attempts, and sometimes it’s crucial to draw fouls to slow down the opposing team’s momentum or to help close out a game. Oklahoma City is driving to the basket when needed, and at some point, getting extra trips to the free-throw line will be important against strong teams.

Rockets vs Thunder Prediction

The Rockets’ offense is confident, and they have already played close games against strong teams in the West. The Thunder seem to play their best basketball at home, but all of their wins have come against teams with a losing record. Oklahoma City has the stronger defense, but Houston has put together two consecutive games where their defense played well. This game is likely to have a “game of runs” feel, with both teams matching each other on both sides of the ball throughout the contest.

Pick
Rockets +8.5 (-110)
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