Our Florida vs Tennessee prediction for this NCAAF game is Florida +14, -110.
Florida battles Tennessee in this SEC matchup. The Gators are 1-0 in road games and will look to keep things close against the Volunteers.
Offshore Odds: Florida Heavy Underdogs On The Road
Team | Spread | Money Line | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Florida | +14 (-110) | +500 | O 57.5 (-110) |
Tennessee | -14 (-110) | -650 | U 57.5 (-110) |
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Florida Battle Tested
Florida has won 2 games in a row, and the offense is gaining confidence. The Gators are 0-2 against ranked teams, losing those games by margins of 13 to 24 points. However, the defense has improved slightly, and the Gators have cleaned things up since those ranked matchups.
Recently, the Gators defeated UCF 24-13 at home. The Florida defense didn’t allow a TD until the 4th quarter. They racked up 359 yards of offense and didn’t turn the ball over. This was a solid effort on both sides of the ball and a positive trend to continue as they face another ranked team. The Gators will aim to match the Vols’ offensive production early on.
Tennessee Offense Trending Down
The Tennessee offense excelled in the first few weeks of the season, scoring between 51 and 71 points per game while the defense allowed fewer than 10 points. However, since playing ranked Oklahoma and going through their bye week, their production has declined significantly, and their games have been getting closer.
The Volunteers just lost on the road to unranked Arkansas, 19-14. Tennessee was shut out in the 1st half, took the lead in the 3rd quarter, but faltered in the 4th. There were no turnovers, and the Razorbacks simply outplayed them. While Tennessee is likely to bounce back at home, this game demonstrates that time of possession and matching an opponent’s offensive production can lead to unexpected outcomes.
Florida vs Tennessee Prediction
The last Tennessee game was eye-opening. It could have been rust from the bye week or just an off game, but it was certainly a concerning result. Meanwhile, Florida seems to be improving. The Gators managed to score 45 in their only road game, but that was against a below-average team. Tennessee will set the tone early and pose a much tougher test, but the Gators will likely hang around and cover the spread.
Pick
Florida +14 (-110)
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