Our Du Plessis vs. Adesanya prediction is that the August 17 fight is going to be a fierce striking contest. It’s because UFC Middleweight champion Dricus Du Plessis and his UFC 305 opponent Israel Adesanya are two incredible kickboxers.
Du Plessis lands more significant strikes per minute on average than any other middleweight in the UFC, while the proof of Adesanya’s striking ability is that two-thirds of his wins happened by KO/TKO, including one against Alex Pereira.
Before Betting on Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Dricus Du Plessis lands 6.49 significant strikes per minute, which is more than any other active middleweight in the UFC. He’s 21-2 overall with 9 of those wins happening by KO/TKO. What’s interesting is that most of his wins happened by submission – 10 of them.
When it comes to his losses, one happened by knockout and one by submission, but neither of those were in the UFC. In fact, the South African is on a 9-win streak.
Will Israel Adesanya be the one to end his run? Izzy is a hell of a kickboxer with a 24-3 record and 16 wins by KO/TKO. He’s got no wins by submission, but also no losses by this method, as he’s very good at keeping his distance and defending against takedowns.
In fact, he’s got a TD defense ratio of 77% and has only suffered one takedown in his last five fights. However, truth be told, he hasn’t fought against a great wrestler in a while.
Du Plessis vs. Adesanya Offshore Odds & Pick
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| Fighter | Odds |
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| Dricus Du Plessis | +120 |
| Israel Adesanya | -140 |
The Du Plessis vs. Adesanya odds suggest Izzy is more likely to win, but our pick is the defending champ. We predict that the South African is going to ragdoll Izzy the same he did to Sean Strickland in his first title defense. Adesanya might end up landing more strikes in total, but we don’t think it will matter. Du Plessis will keep him pinned to the ground as long as necessary to win by decision.
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Pick
Dricus Du Plessis (+120)
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50% up to $1000
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