Storm vs Mercury WNBA Pick: Seattle Eyes First Road Win (Jun 7)

• The Storm tightened their defense in a 83‑77 win over Dallas
• The Mercury edged out Golden State 86‑77.
• Their last meeting on May 17 ended in a blowout — Mercury beat Storm 81‑59 behind 27 points from Sabally and 20 from Alyssa Thomas.

The Seattle Storm travel to Phoenix for a Western Conference showdown in the Commissioner’s Cup. Both teams enter off confidence-boosting wins — Seattle defensively grinding out a victory, Phoenix defeating Golden State through depth. Expect a clash of playing styles: Seattle’s physical frontcourt vs. Phoenix’s perimeter firepower. Each team looks to build momentum toward the midseason.

Storm Has An Elite Defense

Seattle has shown defensive toughness, allowing just 99.9 points per 100 possessions (5th in WNBA), and finally snapped their losing streak with a gritty 83‑77 win over Dallas. Skylar Diggins-Smith is instrumental, averaging 16.8 PPG and a team-high 6.4 APG, while Nneka Ogwumike chips in 16.5 PPG and 9 RPG.

However, Seattle struggles on the boards and from the charity stripe, ranking 12th in free-throw rate. Their bench, led by Gabby Williams and Erica Wheeler, must provide consistency in Phoenix. Key to victory: continue locking down on the interior and crash the glass.

Seattle’s offense benefited from 48.4% FG and 40% 3‑point shooting in their last outing, a promising sign heading into a showcase game. Clean execution in transition and limiting turnovers will be pivotal on the road.

Mercury Has Started The Season Hot

The Mercury ride high after an 86‑77 win over the Golden State Valkyries, paced by Satou Sabally (19 points, 8 boards) and a hot Lexi Held (24 off the bench). Phoenix upgrades its depth-based model without elite stars like Taurasi or Griner. They score 99.5 points per 100 possessions (10th) and hold opponents to 97.1 (3rd), giving them a +2.4 net rating.

They also lead the WNBA with 9.4 made threes per game (4th in attempts), showcasing strong spacing and offensive versatility. Sabally (20.3 PPG, 8 RPG) and Alyssa Thomas (15.2 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 8 APG) anchor the core. Phoenix must maintain pace and hot outside shooting to outgun Seattle.

Phoenix’s bench depth and spacing make them dangerous in transition, but turnovers and crash-the-glass consistency will define their night at home. If they sustain hot shooting, they’ll control tempo.

Storm vs Mercury Pick

Expect a tightly contested, physical battle. Seattle’s defensive identity meets Phoenix’s offensive depth. Home-court, shooting, and recent head-to-head history favor the Mercury, but Seattle’s grit offers a path. With under 157.5 points trending and both teams balanced, this one could come down to late-game execution.