Published Jun 7, 1:52pm ET by
Demilade Adelekun - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer
Last updated Jun 7, 1:52pm ET
Updated Jun 7, 1:52pm ET
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| Cleveland Guardians | -114 |
| New York Yankees | -109 |
The Yankees are 37-26, but the lineup that walks into Progressive Field Monday is not the one that won those games. Aaron Judge is out with a rib stress fracture. Giancarlo Stanton is on the IL with a strained calf. Austin Wells is sidelined with cervical headaches. That is three of New York's best four hitters gone at the same time, and the replacement options, while not without talent, have not produced at the same clip.
The Yankees' starter for this slot has not been publicly confirmed as of Sunday. Whoever draws the assignment walks into a difficult park against a team playing its best baseball of the season. Cleveland has won ten of its last eleven. The offense is built around José Ramírez, Travis Bazzana, and Kyle Manzardo, three hitters who make contact, take walks, and create runs without needing the long ball.
Gavin Williams is 9-3 with a 3.20 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 81.2 innings. He beat the Yankees just four days ago in New York, allowing three runs in 5.1 innings, a result that looked worse than it pitched. He now gets the rematch at home. His sweeper has been the best version of the pitch all season, generating 10 swings and misses in a recent eight-inning, 11-strikeout shutout against the Phillies. That was one of the best-pitched games of the year in the American League.
Williams has allowed two earned runs or fewer in nine of his thirteen starts. He is 3-0 in his last three outings. Against a depleted Yankees lineup at Progressive Field, the numbers point one direction.
Williams at home against a New York lineup missing Judge, Stanton, and Wells. Cleveland has won ten of eleven. The home edge and the injury context both favor the Guardians, and -114 is a price you take on an ace in this form.
Pick: Cleveland Guardians -114
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Pick
Cleveland Guardians -114
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