Last updated Jun 4, 3:47am ET

The French Open semi-finals in the men’s draw are set for Friday, June 6. Carlos Alcaraz is a short-price favorite to continue his dominance at Roland Garros, but he will face an interesting challenge if he is to secure his spot in the showpiece match on Sunday.

Lorenzo Musetti has been progressive on the ATP Tour throughout this season, but could the Italian spring the ultimate surprise in Paris this week?

Event Overview

StatInformation
WhenFriday, June 6, 2025 @ 5:00 AM ET
WhereRoland Garros, Paris, France
How to WatchTNT

Odds

Match ResultOdds
Lorenzo Musetti+495
Carlos Alcaraz-700

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Carlos Alcaraz Preview

Musetti’s Route to the Final

Lorenzo Musetti has enjoyed an excellent 12 months on Tour, but he is yet to reach a first Grand Slam final. His closest challenge came when reaching the final four at Wimbledon last year. However, he has already shown his ability on the clay this year, reaching the final at the Monte-Carlo Masters.

But, his performances have reached new heights at Roland Garros. His credentials were evident in the fourth round after a battling four-set win over tenth-seed Holger Rune.

However, he needed luck on his side to overcome Francis Tiafoe in the previous round after escaping a slam-dunk disqualification to eventually win in four sets. But, this will be his biggest challenge to date on Friday.

Alcaraz’s Route to the Final

Spanish star Carlos Alcaraz already appears to be the dominant force in men’s tennis for the modern era. He has won four Grand Slam titles, including a success at last year’s French Open.

His dominance on the clay has already been evident this year after winning the Italian Open in May. During his run to success, he also recorded a straight sets win over Musetti.

Alcaraz has shown every element to his game at Roland Garros this year, battling to marathon wins over Ben Shelton, while also flexing his muscles in a dominant showing against Tommy Paul.

Head-to-Head Record

TotalLorenzo MusettiCarlos Alcaraz
Total17512
Clay Court Wins312
Grass Court Wins000
Hard Court Wins14410

Alcaraz has won 70.6% of the previous head-to-head matches between the stars. That includes two wins on the clay surface, with the most recent coming during last month’s Italian Open. Overall, the Spaniard has won the last five head-to-head meetings between the players.

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Carlos Alcaraz Picks

Musetti has surpassed expectations to reach this stage of the French Open, but it is incredibly challenging to overlook Alcaraz from reaching a second straight final at Roland Garros.

The Spaniard already has a recent dominant record on the clay surface against the Italian, winning each of the last two meetings between the stars at the ATP Rome and ATP Monte-Carlo events.

Pick
Carlos Alcaraz (-700)
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Alex Dudley
Alex Dudley

Sports Analyst and Betting Expert

Alex has over 15 years of experience in sports betting, specializing in soccer and horse racing. He uses his deep knowledge of markets and strategies to guide readers through disciplined and informed betting.

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