Last updated May 22, 4:15am ET

The final round of matches in Italy’s Serie A is set for this weekend, and all eyes will be on the title-deciding fixtures on Friday. Inter Milan require a win on the road, and hope Napoli are beaten at home to retain their Scudetto. You can find our Serie A picks for matchday 38 here.

Serie A Picks

Como vs. Inter Milan

Inter Milan must win at Como to have any chance of retaining the Serie A title. They have won each of their last eight matches against their opponents, but this is a very different Como side, as the hosts have won their last three at home.

Despite that, we expect Inter to keep their side of the bargain on the final day and record a much-needed win on the road.

Pick
Inter Milan (-165)
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Napoli vs. Cagliari

Napoli’s task on the final day is simple- win and they are champions. The Italian side have a fine record against Cagliari, winning nine of the last 12 meetings.

However, they haven’t recorded a league double over the Italians since 2018-19. Despite that, a passionate home support should get Antonio Conte’s side over the line.

Pick
Napoli (-650)
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Bologna vs. Genoa

Bologna have won just one of their last eleven league matches against Genoa, and they haven’t recorded a home win over their opponents since February 2018.

Therefore, despite bringing a losing sequence into the final round of matches, a clear case can be made for the visitors.

Pick
Genoa (+545)
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AC Milan vs. Monza

AC Milan have scored seven goals across their last two home matches against Monza. However, it has been a poor season for the hosts, as they have already lost 16 times this season.

Despite that, we expect a miserable campaign for Milan to end with a home win over Monza.

Pick
AC Milan (-450)
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Atalanta vs. Parma

Atalanta have recorded victories in each of their last seven matches against Parma. All the pressure this weekend will be on the visitors, who need a victory to guarantee their Serie A status.

A draw may also be a good result, and that could be a likely outcome based on the fact that Parma have avoided defeat in six of their last seven.

Pick
The Draw (+265)
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Lazio vs. Lecce

Lazio have won their previous two against Lecce. However, confidence with the visitors’ camp should be high after ending a 13-game wait for a win.

Lazio have played out draws in each of their last six home matches. That winless sequence could continue with another draw on Sunday.

Pick
The Draw (+255)
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Empoli vs. Verona

Empoli must win on the final day and hope Lecce or Parma don’t claim maximum points.

Verona also need a point to maintain their Serie A status. With high stakes resting on the outcome, a low-scoring match is expected, but Verona could be the eye-catching selection.

Pick
Verona (+305)
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Venezia vs. Juventus

Juventus need a victory to secure their place in next season’s Champions League. However, there could be a sting in the tail on Sunday.

Venezia have won two of their last three home matches, and they could end their long wait for a victory against the Old Lady on Sunday.

Pick
Venezia (+480)
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Udinese vs. Fiorentina

Udinese have won three of their last six league matches against Fiorentina. However, they have won just a single point from their last four home matches.

Fiorentina have already amassed their highest tally of points since 2006-07, and another win could be recorded on Sunday.

Pick
Fiorentina (-104)
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Torino vs. Roma

Claudio Ranieri’s fairytale swansong in management could lead to Roma finishing in the Champions League spots if they win and Juventus fail to claim victory.

Roma look a strong bet after winning five of their last seven away matches against Torino.

Pick
Roma (-174)
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Alex Dudley
Alex Dudley

Sports Analyst and Betting Expert

Alex has over 15 years of experience in sports betting, specializing in soccer and horse racing. He uses his deep knowledge of markets and strategies to guide readers through disciplined and informed betting.

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