Published Nov 11, 1:40pm ET by
Paul Lebowitz - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer
Last updated Nov 11, 1:40pm ET
Grok AI
Updated Nov 11, 1:41pm ET
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| Los Angeles Rams | -3 (-102) |
| Seattle Seahawks | +3 (-118) |
The Seahawks are 7-2, and those two losses were by a total of 7 points to the 49ers and Buccaneers. Not only are they winning, they're doing so ruthlessly. Their back-to-back bashing of the Commanders and Cardinals exemplified this as they ran out to big leads and poured it on, cruising to blowout victories.
The 44-22 Week 10 win over Arizona was slightly dressed up from the Cardinals' perspective with three second-half scores to make it moderately respectable. But Seattle led 38-7 by halftime.
This has been their recent trend.
QB Sam Darnold has been efficient and effective all season. His passer rating sits at 116.5. He's thrown 17 TD passes against 6 picks. He leads the NFL in yards gained per attempt, yards gained per completion, and ESPN's Total QB Rating at 77.6.
But it's not just Darnold, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Kenneth Walker III, Leonard Williams, and DeMarcus Lawrence leading the way. It's second-year defensive backs like Nehemiah Pritchett making plays like this:
Mike Macdonald said they showed this play multiple times in today's team meeting: "The body control, awareness, I’ve never really seen a play like that before… That play probably ultimately sealed the win for us, because if they make that touchdown, it’s down to a 2-score game." https://t.co/drfxtg3YHO
— John Boyle (@johnpboyle) November 11, 2025
Seattle is 3rd in the league in points per game and 5th in points allowed per game. Their takeaway differential is -4, 23rd in the NFL. On defense, they have stuffed the run but struggled against the pass. This could be problematic against Matthew Stafford and the Rams.
| PLAYER | STATUS |
|---|---|
| Ernest Jones IV, LB | INJURED |
| Josh Jobe, CB | INJURED |
| Tony Horton, WR | INJURED |
| Jake Bobo, WR | INJURED |
| Jalen Sundell, C | INJURED |
| Jarran Reed, DT | INJURED |
In Week 10, the Rams avenged an earlier loss to their hated rivals, the 49ers, with an emphatic 42-26 win. In fairness, they should have won the first matchup as well and would have were it not for an untimely Kyren Williams fumble.
Stafford had another superlative performance, completing 24 of 36 passes for 280 yards and 4 TDs. And he's done it with style.
Matthew Stafford: the OG of the no look pass 👀 pic.twitter.com/1Zb1NzbgSJ
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) November 10, 2025
Like Seattle's two losses could easily have gone the other way, LA could also be undefeated. Their losses were to San Francisco in overtime and to the Eagles on a blocked game-winning field goal attempt.
LA's offense is a scoring machine with Puka Nacua healthy, a dual-headed running attack with Williams and Blake Corum, and Stafford having a masterful season.
They are opportunistic defensively and protect the ball on offense with a takeaway differential of +7, good for 4th in the league. They are vulnerable to the pass, ranked 18th in the NFL in yards allowed through the air per game.
The Seahawks' defense hits very hard, so expect them to try and beat up Nacua and Davante Adams and to knock Stafford around. Adams suffered an oblique injury against San Francisco, but is expected to play. Apart from that, they are healthy.
The winner will have a leg up on winning the division and potentially taking the #1 seed in the NFC with home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.
| PLAYER | STATUS |
|---|---|
| Davante Adams, WR | INJURED |
| Tutu Atwell, WR | INJURED |
For Week 11 Seahawks-Rams, the winner will have a clear path to the NFC West title. They are evenly matched, with LA having the veteran status and history of breaking through for a Super Bowl win, and Seattle returning to prominence after several years of mediocrity and retooling.
The game will be close and come down to which team can execute its preferred game plan. Seattle wants to hit LA and wear them down; LA wants to avoid the early flurry of scoring that has benefited Seattle all season.
Underdog Seattle will keep the game within a field goal, even if they lose.
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Pick
Seattle Seahawks +3
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