Red Sox vs Twins MLB Pick: Boston Aims to Climb in AL East against Minnesota

Major League Baseball action unfolds on Monday, July 28, as the Boston Red Sox travel to Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota, to clash with the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. This interleague battle sees the Red Sox pushing for position in the competitive AL East, while the Twins aim to improve their standing in the AL Central.

Boston Red Sox Outlook

The Boston Red Sox currently hold a 56-50 record, placing them third in the challenging AL East, 6.5 games behind the division leaders. Their offense has been productive, ranking 5th in MLB in runs scored (516 total) and 9th in batting average (.252). They’ve also hit 129 home runs, ranking 10th in the majors.

Key contributors include Wilyer Abreu, who leads the team with 20 home runs, and Jarren Duran, who has 26 doubles and 12 triples. Trevor Story leads the team with 60 RBIs. The Red Sox pitching staff has a respectable 3.79 ERA (9th in MLB) and 8.5 K/9 (13th). They come into this game with a 5-5 record in their last 10 outings.

Minnesota Twins Outlook

The Minnesota Twins stand at 50-54, sitting fourth in the AL Central, 10 games behind the Detroit Tigers. The Twins offense has been less consistent, ranking 19th in runs per game (4.2) and 20th in batting average (.242), though they are 12th in home runs (120).

Byron Buxton has been a leading force with 23 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Carlos Correa and Ty France also contribute. Their pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA (22nd in MLB) but boasts a strong 8.8 K/9 rate (6th). The Twins have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games, looking to reverse their recent struggles.

Analysis and Pick

The Red Sox bring a more potent offense to the table, and while Richard Fitts is still developing, he faces a Twins lineup that has struggled to consistently score runs this season. Simeon Woods Richardson for the Twins has shown flashes, but the Red Sox offense can get to him early.

Given Boston’s superior offensive output and the fact that both starting pitchers have similar ERAs, the Red Sox present value as the underdog in this matchup. Their ability to hit for power and drive in runs could be the difference against a Twins team that struggles offensively. The total runs line is set relatively high, indicating expectations for offense, but the Red Sox are well-positioned to contribute significantly to that total.