Super Bowl LX: Player Props Based on Our Game Pick

• Super Bowl LX has a litany of player and game props available
• When weighing options, one way to pick which players will and will not surpass specific numbers, considering how the game itself will go can be crucial
• The Seahawks are favored by 5 points over the Patriots
• Our prediction is available here and there are opportunities to make player and game props based on that
• Those who disagree with the analysis can pick the opposite props!

Sam Darnold Over 0.5 Interceptions

Because Mike Vrabel played for Bill Belichick, he coaches in a similar way to his former Patriots boss. Belichick’s core strategy was to take away what his opponent did best. Against the Seahawks, the likeliest strategy is for the Patriots to take away their key players on offense.

Sam Darnold is important. But if the Seahawks need to rely on him to win the game on his own, they’re going to lose.

Despite Darnold having his second consecutive Pro Bowl season, throwing for more than 4,000 yards, amassing 25 TD passes against 14 picks, and a QB rating of 99.1, he is not relied upon as the difference between winning and losing as the Rams do with Matthew Stafford.

Should the Pats succeed in shutting down running back Kenneth Walker III and wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Darnold will need to hit his “other” targets Cooper Kupp, AJ Barner, and Rashid Shaheed.

He’s going to throw at least one interception.

Drake Maye Under 222.5 Passing Yards

The Patriots are not only going to focus on stopping the Seahawks’ two key offensive players, but they will also try to avoid mistakes on offense. That means quarterback Drake Maye will not be firing like Dan Marino.

Even in Tom Brady’s heyday, when the Patriots were in the Super Bowl so frequently, they relied on a diverse offensive scheme and sought to limit potential mistakes.

That was with a QB who rarely made unforced errors.

Maye, as much as he’s matured in his two years in the league, still only has those two years in the league. If the Patriots get a lead, they’re going to try to kill the clock as much as possible. That means limited and safe throws from Maye.

Kenneth Walker III Under 72.5 Rushing Yards; Jaxon Smith-Njigba Under 6.5 Receptions

The Patriots allowed the 6th fewest rushing yards in the NFL during the regular season. They were tied for 10th in yards allowed per carry. Seattle relied heavily on Kenneth Walker III during the playoffs. He became a greater focal point after Zach Charbonnet blew out his knee.

If the Pats stop Walker, they’ll force Darnold to throw. Blanketing Jaxon Smith-Njigba will leave Cupp and the other targets open. Telling Darnold that he won’t beat them by going to his key guys and he needs to hit the second and third tier receivers is a risky strategy, but if they pull it off, they’ll win.

As for Smith-Njigba, if he is heavily covered to the point where New England has all but said, “You’re not completing any downfield passes to this guy,” then eventually, it makes no sense and becomes too dangerous to keep throwing him the ball.

Since the Seahawks are widely expected to win and the Pats have endured endless ridicule as to how “lucky” they were given their schedule, the Broncos’ Bo Nix getting hurt, and getting a fortuitous snowstorm to shut down the rest of Denver’s offense, they’ll roll the dice to stop Seattle’s best offensive players and take back the Lombardi Trophy.