Phillies vs Marlins MLB Player Prop Picks (Jun 16)

First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET at loanDepot Park. The Phillies (41–29) are slight road favorites against the Marlins (27–41), as Philadelphia looks to maintain pace in the NL East and Miami seeks to extend its home winning streak.

• The Phillies are projected for a postseason berth with over 50 percent probability and sit atop the NL East entering tonight’s matchup.
• Rookie right-hander Mick Abel (1–0, 2.35 ERA) starts for Philadelphia, while Miami counters with struggling ace Sandy Alcantara (3–7, 7.14 ERA).
• The game total is set at 8.5 runs, with eight of the last ten head-to-head meetings hitting the over.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Pick: Mick Abel

Philadelphia ranks in the top 10 in runs scored and slugging percentage. Veterans like Kyle Schwarber (22 home runs) and Trea Turner (.300 average) power the offense, while the defense is among the league’s most reliable with a .989 fielding percentage. Their bullpen remains a minor weakness, converting just under 60 percent of save opportunities.

• Abel averaged six strikeouts in his last outing and has quickly gained confidence in his rookie campaign.
• In his only road appearance, he threw 5.1 innings of one-run ball against a top-15 lineup.
• With a swing-and-miss arsenal and pitch efficiency, Abel is well-positioned to clear this line.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Pick: Sandy Alcantara

Miami enters on a three-game home winning streak but remains near the bottom of the NL standings. Sandy Alcantara has struggled throughout 2025, with a WHIP over 1.50 and declining strikeout-to-walk ratio. The Marlins’ offense has shown flashes recently but lacks consistency against top-tier pitching.

• Alcantara has allowed 63 hits over 63 innings this season, averaging more than one hit per inning.
• He’s given up six or more hits in four of his last five home starts.
• The Phillies rank top-6 in hits per game and should challenge Alcantara early.