NFL 2025: Player Performance Best Bets Over/Under – NFC West

• Our final preseason NFL 2025 analysis looks at the NFC West player over-under projected performances and picks
• This is one of the more unpredictable divisions in the league
• New faces, injury questions, age, and make-or-break demands make all bear watching as the season gets underway

Los Angeles Rams

Nacua is already one of the most dangerous receivers in the league. Not only does he have great skill at getting open, but he’s got breakaway speed and is very difficult to tackle. However, the way he plays leaves him susceptible to injury. He suffered a knee injury in the 2024 opener and missed five games.

Another challenge for Nacua surpassing 1,200 yards receiving is Matthew Stafford’s age and questionable health. He’s been limited by back trouble in the preseason, but is expected to be well enough to start the season. But will his 37-year-old body be able to play 17 games?

If Stafford misses time, Nacua will be catching passes from Jimmy Garoppolo. He’s serviceable over the short term, but is also injury prone. The backup’s backup is Stetson Bennett.

Despite these obstacles, Nacua is so talented that he should be expected to accrue more than 1,200.5 yards.

Seattle Seahawks

This is a difficult number to reconcile. Darnold threw 35 TD passes for the Vikings in 2024, sparking speculation and at least a consideration on the part of the Vikings that they would franchise tag him and perhaps sign him to a long-term deal despite having drafted J.J. McCarthy in the 1st Round of the 2024 NFL Draft.

The Vikings chose to let him walk and the Seahawks grabbed him.

With odds so heavily in favor of the under and the number of TD passes so low at 20.5, it’s important to look at the possible reasons including a conservative offensive coordinator and an inexperienced receiving crew.

New offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak is considered vanilla in his playcalling, but he’s only been an OC for two seasons. The first was for the Vikings in 2021 and Kirk Cousins threw 33 TD passes. He was the Saints’ OC in 2024 and their four QBs combined for 20 TD passes. Derek Carr threw 15 in 10 games. But that was a spiraling team that fired its head coach at midseason and was playing a rookie QB, Spencer Rattler, for much of the season.

The Seahawks purged several veterans in the offseason, particularly on the offensive side of the ball with longtime receiver stalwarts Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf gone. Tight end Noah Fant left for the Bengals.

Still, they have offensive talent with Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp, Tony Horton, and Zach Charbonnet.

Barring something inexplicable, Darnold should blow past 20.5 TD passes.

Arizona Cardinals

Harrison was the 4th overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. He and quarterback Kyler Murray were expected to light the league on fire. Instead, they seemed to have trouble getting on the same page and Harrison caught only 62 balls for 885 yards.

Along with Harrison’s pass-catching abilities and pedigree as Hall of Famer Marvin Harrison Sr.’s son, the younger Harrison is catching passes from a QB who is under pressure to perform and playing for a coach whose job is on the line. They will do whatever they can to get him the ball regardless of the defenses they are confronted with and if the opposition’s main focus is to stop Harrison.

He’ll catch more than 72.5 balls.

San Francisco 49ers

There are two hindrances with McCaffrey rushing for 951 yards or more: injuries and the team limiting his snaps for the greater good.

McCaffrey was limited by Achilles tendon problems early in the 2024 season. In December, he sprained the PCL in his right knee, ending his season. The 49ers’ playoff hopes were all but gone by then.

During the preseason, the 49ers acquired veteran back Brian Robinson Jr. from the Commanders. They also have Isaac Gurendo, who was impressive last season, averaging 5 yards per rushing attempt.

McCaffrey is entering his ninth year and the hits and injuries are piling up. Eventually, it gets harder and harder to recover from them quickly.

Knowing how the 49ers have their eye on playoff success and that they have depth at running back, perhaps they will limit McCaffrey.

Still, he’s their horse and they need him. He breaks off enough big runs that he should rush for more than 950.5 yards.

NFC West Player Over-Under Odds and Picks

Arguments could be made for all four NFC West clubs to win the division. But there are lingering questions that will impact their players’ over-under performance.

The odds here are polarizing. So how do you feel about them? What are your predictions for NFC West player over-under performance?

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