NFL 2025: Player Performance Best Bets Over/Under – AFC North

• The NFL regular season opens shortly, and it’s time to look at the AFC North player over-under best bets
• First up was the AFC East; now, here is the AFC North
• There are plenty of players to choose from, with Aaron Rodgers, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, and Jerry Jeudy, among others

Baltimore Ravens

For Jackson, the seeming expectation that he will throw more than 7.5 picks is strange given that he has been a full-time starter since 2019 and has surpassed that number twice. In 2020, he threw 9 interceptions. In 2021, he threw 13.

Lamar is so accurate, processes so quickly, and makes such great decisions that these odds warrant a deeper look. The Steelers acquired Jalen Ramsey, while the Browns are known for their strong secondary. Baltimore faces other teams with solid defensive backfields, such as the Jets and Patriots.

But does that mean he’ll throw at least 8 picks?

Pittsburgh Steelers

This is another strange number. Since becoming a starter in 2008, Rodgers has never thrown fewer than 25 TD passes in a season in which he played at least 15 games.

Yes, he’ll be 42 in December.

Yes, it’s a new team in Pittsburgh and a new system.

But under 23.5 TD passes?

The only way this happens is if he gets hurt. And throughout his career, he’s been remarkably durable, with the sole outlier being when he tore his Achilles in his first series for the Jets.

The Steelers are perceived as a smashmouth, run-first team. But that seems to be based on the last several years when they were desperately searching for a quarterback to replace Ben Roethlisberger. In 2024, they figuratively handcuffed Justin Fields before pulling him in favor of veteran Russell Wilson.

In 2025, their receiving corps is questionable, with the only known being veteran D.K. Metcalf. Their tight end room is deep with Pat Freiermuth and Jonnu Smith.

If he’s healthy, Rodgers will surpass 23.5 TD passes.

Cincinnati Bengals

Burrow’s only question mark in surpassing 4,250.5 yards is health. He is a two-time winner of the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award. To win that award, a player either needs to have a terrible season or be injured. With Burrow, it was the latter. He is not injury-prone, but he has had some bad luck.

Still, in every year in which he’s played a full season, he’s blown past 4,250.5 yards, his lowest season total being 4,475 yards. In 2024, he was 82 yards from 5,000 yards. Barring injury, he’ll hit the over.

Cleveland Browns

Jeudy caught 90 balls in 2024. It was his first season in Cleveland after four years with the Broncos and the first time he caught more than 67 passes. The issue in Denver is the same as the one he faces in Cleveland: Who’s throwing him the ball?

With the Broncos, he never had that big-time passer in his prime to throw him the ball. Now, the Browns are deciding between journeymen, a graybeard veteran, and rookies. A top receiver catching 83 balls would usually not be in question. With the Browns, it is.

For Jeudy, it’s safer to err on the side of caution and go with the under. He’ll catch fewer than 82.5 passes regardless of who the QB is.

2025 NFL Player Performance AFC North Over/Under Best Bets

The AFC North player over/unders have good value considering the questions surrounding key players like Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow.

What’s your take on these and other over/unders?

New Player Bonus 50% up to $1000

BET NOW