MLB All-Star Game: Home Run Derby Predictions and Odds

• Our 2025 MLB Home Run Derby predictions and odds look at the popular All-Star Break competition
• Available wagers include picking the outright winner, who will hit the longest home run, and how far the longest home run will travel at Truist Park in Atlanta
• Stalwarts Pete Alonso, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and Aaron Judge are not taking part
• New faces, including MLB home run leader Cal Raleigh, spice up the event

Home Run Derby Winner

Casual fans might not recognize many of the names, but there’s plenty of power here.

Oneil Cruz has 16 home runs, and the ball leaves his bat like it’s a Titleist. Cal Raleigh has blown past household names Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani to take over the MLB lead in homers with 38.

Brent Rooker didn’t become a full-time big leaguer until 2023, and he’s trapped in obscurity with the Athletics. He’s hit 89 home runs since then.

Matt Olson is a hometown favorite hoping to give Braves fans something to cheer about in a disastrous season. James Wood is an emerging star, and former Nationals’ GM Mike Rizzo acquiring him in the Juan Soto trade will be a fitting legacy for the fired head of baseball ops.

Hitting home runs in batting practice is far different from doing it in games. Those who have consistent and repeatable swings are likelier to win the derby.

Wood has that type of swing, and he is our pick to win the contest.

Longest Home Run Hit in Home Run Derby

Cruz generates amazing bat speed. Being the odds-on favorite for the longest home run clearly stems from his batting practice exploits and exit velocity. He hit the hardest ball in baseball this season at 122.9.

However, that does not necessarily translate to Home Run Derby, especially given how he can fall into extended lulls.

Olson is accustomed to Truist Park and is in the top 5 in MLB for average exit velocity. He’s more consistent, and his home runs tend to be of the towering and distant variety. Olson is our pick for the longest home run in the derby.

Longest Home Run Distance in Home Run Derby

This seems like a gimme bet, so it’s wise to be a little reticent before automatically believing someone will hit a ball beyond 479.5 feet. Still, with the number of balls that will be hit and the bashers taking part, this will be an easy over.

What Are Your Home Run Derby Predictions?

Home Run Derby has become one of the marquee attractions of the All-Star Game festivities. Despite the bigger names like Ohtani, Judge, Guerrero, and 2X winner Pete Alonso choosing not to compete, there is still plenty to watch this year.

Will Raleigh’s sudden burst of power translate to the Home Run Derby? What about Cruz’s bat speed? Or Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s love of the spotlight? Will Rooker want to introduce himself to the world?

Who do you think will win?

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