Mets vs Orioles MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 9)

The New York Mets (53–39) follow up their thrilling 7–6 extra-innings win with a shot at a sweep in Baltimore. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET on ESPN. David Peterson (6–4, 3.18 ERA) starts for New York, while the Orioles counter with veteran Tomoyuki Sugano (6–5, 4.44 ERA).

• Mets are riding momentum, winning 5 of their last 6, including a dramatic comeback in Tuesday’s game.
• Peterson splits home/road performance: 5–0 with a 2.11 ERA at Citi Field but 1–4, 4.44 ERA on the road.
• Sugano has struggled lately, with a 5.78 xERA and allowing 19 HR across 93 IP.

New York Mets Player Prop Pick: David Peterson

The Mets have stabilized following a 3–14 stretch earlier this season, buoyed by streaks over Kansas City and the Brewers. Pitching improvements include Peterson’s consistency and bullpen resilience despite multiple injuries. Offensively, they carry a top-3 OBP and middling run production into this series.

• Peterson has struck out 87 in 102 IP and held opponents to 1 ER in his most recent start.
• He’s had 10 quality starts and typically limits damage, even on the road.
• A solid effort of 5–6 innings keeps him well under the 5-run threshold.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Pick: Tomoyuki Sugano

Baltimore hovers around .500, driven by young bats like Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman. But their pitching staff ranks low—28th in MLB ERA—and has struggled to support Sugano, who remains inconsistent.

• Sugano averages 9.6 K/9 with 57 Ks in 93 IP.
• Mets strike out often (8.6 K/game), giving him ample whiff opportunities.
• Expecting ~6 innings, he’s positioned to exceed this strikeout mark.