Mets vs Orioles MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 10)

The New York Mets (53–40) and Baltimore Orioles (41–50) wrap up their split doubleheader with Game 2 tonight. First pitch is set for 5:05 p.m. ET on SNY and MASN+. David Peterson (6–4, 3.18 ERA) takes the mound for the Mets, while Baltimore counters with Tomoyuki Sugano (6–5, 4.44 ERA)—also used in Game 2 per the schedule.

• Mets are 4–2 over their last six games, including a thrilling comeback win, but show recent contact issues (<– they’ve struck out 151 times in 18 games).
• Peterson has delivered 10 quality starts, averages 3.18 ERA and tends to limit damage, making him a strong candidate for under 2.5 ER and over 17.5 outs.
• Sugano has allowed 13 earned runs over his last two outings, despite the Orioles’ offense showing signs of life.

New York Mets Player Prop Pick: David Peterson

New York has rebounded from a rough stretch, aided by Peterson’s consistency and bullpen depth, though Tylor Megill remains out. They carry a top-tier OBP but have been striking out more often lately. Their lineup includes Soto, Alonso, and Nimmo, capable of run production if given chances.

• Peterson has yielded ≤3 ER in 14 of his last 16 outings and posted 10 quality starts.
• Orioles rank low in contact rate and OBP, aiding Peterson’s ability to limit damage.
• A solid 5–6 inning, quality start is expected.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Pick: Tomoyuki Sugano

Baltimore hovers around .500 with a young, improving offense anchored by Henderson and Rutschman. But the pitching staff ranks near the bottom in ERA. Sugano’s recent outings have been shaky, testing a rotation with limited depth.

• Sugano is averaging 9.6 K/9 with 57 Ks through 93 innings.
• Mets strike out frequently (~8.4 K/game), making matchup favorable.
• Expect 5–6 innings—enough for six whiffs.