Aces vs Mercury WNBA Pick: Who Has The Edge In The Opener? (Oct 3)

• The Las Vegas Aces are in the WNBA Finals for the third time in four years.
• Meanwhile, the Phoenix Mercury punched their ticket to the final round via a 3-1 series win against the top-seeded Lynx.
• These squads previously squared off on Aug. 21, with the Aces claiming an 83-61 victory.

The lone game on Friday’s WNBA postseason slate features the Las Vegas Aces hosting the Phoenix Mercury in Game 1 of this Finals matchup. Who has the edge in our Aces vs Mercury pick?

Aces Outlast Fever In Semifinals

Although Las Vegas faced an opponent missing several key players, it was pushed to the brink for the second straight round. Fortunately, they punched their ticket to the WNBA Finals, courtesy of a 107-98 win over Indiana in Game 5 of the semifinals.

The Aces led by eight points through the first three quarters. But the Fever won the scoring battle 23-15 in the final frame to force an extra session. Las Vegas took an early lead in the overtime period and never looked back.

A’ja Wilson, the league MVP, finished with 35 points, eight rebounds, five assists, four steals, and four blocks. Jackie Young added 32 points and handed out 10 assists.

Phoenix Riding High After Knocking Off Top-Seeded Minnesota

Meanwhile, the Mercury upended the Lynx 86-81 to close out that semifinal series in four games.

A Game 5 appeared imminent as Phoenix trailed by 13 points entering the final frame. However, a 31-13 burst over the final 10 minutes propelled the Mercury to a five-point victory.

Alyssa Thomas powered the offense with 23 points and 10 assists. Satou Sabally finished with 21 points, six boards, and three assists.

Aces vs Mercury WNBA Pick

After defeating the Fever in five games, Las Vegas enters this contest as a slight 2.5-point favorite. Here’s a look at what you need to know for both teams ahead of Game 1.

• The Aces are 21-3 straight-up (SU) in their last 24 games.
• Las Vegas is 16-8 ATS in its previous 24 contests.
• The Mercury are 2-15 in their last 17 outings against the Aces.
• Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its six road matchups.

Following a grueling series against a short-handed opponent, look for the Aces to respond accordingly in what should be a competitive series opener.