Last updated Jun 1, 5:42am ET

The 2026 World Cup will dominate the sporting calendar this summer, and excitement levels across the Americas are high ahead of the big kick off in Mexico in mid-June. But, which nations could be the leading chance to reach the semi-finals stage? You can find our picks for which teams will reach the semi-finals at the World Cup here.

Team to Reach World Cup Semi-Finals Odds

TeamTo Reach The Semi-Finals Odds
Spain+125
France+140
England+160
Brazil+225
Argentina+225
Portugal+250
Germany+275
Netherlands+400
Norway+500
Other Selections+600

ALSO SEE: World Cup 2026 Outright Winner Odds, Preview, and Picks

Which Teams Will Reach The World Cup Semi-Finals? Our Picks

Ecuador (+1400)

One of the shock contenders at this summer’s World Cup could come in the form of the defensively solid Ecuador.

The South American nation have constantly upset the odds, recording wins over Argentina and Uruguay in the qualifying campaign. We could foresee them topping Group E ahead of Germany, setting up a straightforward tie in the first knockout round, before potentially facing France, Senegal, or Norway in the round of 16.

If the South Americans overcome that challenge, a relatively kind quarterfinal clash could see them come up against the winners from Group F.

Pick
Ecuador (+1400)
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Spain (+125)

In our bracket, we have Spain coming up against Ecuador in the semi-finals. The reigning EURO champions have a relatively straightforward passage through the competition, and they are widely expected to top Group H.

Topping that opening group would see Spain come up against the runners-up from Group J, before a showdown with either the runners-up in Groups K or L.

Their first big challenge could come in the quarterfinals with a showdown against Group D winners, which could be the United States.

Pick
Spain (+125)
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England (+160)

England will be expected to reach at least the semi-finals this summer. Despite being drawn against tricky opponents in the opening round, the Three Lions will be expected to top Group L.

In the first knockout round, they will come up against a third-placed team, before potentially facing Mexico in the round of 16. A blockbuster quarterfinal could see Thomas Tuchel’s side come up against an aging Brazil in Miami.

However, we could foresee their tournament coming to an end in the semi-final stage.

Pick
England (+160)
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Portugal (+250)

This could finally be the year when Cristiano Ronaldo finally gets his hands on the World Cup. Portugal will be expected to top Group K without dropping a point, before they face a third-place team in the round of 32.

A fascinating potential clash against Canada or Switzerland could be set for the round of 16, before a final battle between Lionel Messi and Ronaldo could be a likely tournament classic in the quarterfinals.

As we have already mentioned, we like the chances of Portugal winning the World Cup, meaning that they are a standout selection to reach the semi-finals at +250.

Pick
Portugal (+250)
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Alex Dudley
Alex Dudley

Sports Analyst and Betting Expert

Alex has over 15 years of experience in sports betting, specializing in soccer and horse racing. He uses his deep knowledge of markets and strategies to guide readers through disciplined and informed betting.

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