Mercury vs Lynx WNBA Game 4 Pick: Can Phoenix Pull Off Yet Another Upset? (Sep 28)

• The Phoenix Mercury lead this semifinal series 2-1.
• Meanwhile, the Minnesota Lynx need a road win to force a Game 5 back on their home court.
• These squads previously squared off on Sep. 26, with the Mercury claiming an 84-76 victory.

One of the games on Sunday’s WNBA postseason slate features the Phoenix Mercury hosting the Minnesota Lynx in Game 4 of this second-round matchup. Who has the edge in our Mercury vs Lynx pick?

Mercury vs Lynx Game 4 Preview

Phoenix moved within one win of advancing to the Finals, notching an 84-76 victory against Minnesota in Game 3 on Friday night.

The game was close throughout most of the night with 15 lead changes. Trailing 76-75 late in the final frame, Satou Sabally knocked down a 3-pointer, along with two free throws, giving the Mercury an 80-76 advantage at the two-minute mark in the fourth quarter.

Alyssa Thomas’ layup with 21.8 seconds left capped off an impressive 21-9 outburst in the period. Sabally led the way for Phoenix, putting up 23 points and collecting four rebounds. Thomas finished with 21 points, nine rebounds, eight assists, five steals, and two blocked shots.

Natisha Hiedeman paced Minnesota’s offense with 19 points, three assists, and two steals off the bench. Napheesa Collier added 17 points, six rebounds, three assists, and three blocks. However, she exited the game with an ankle injury.

Can Phoenix punch its ticket to the Finals, or will the Lynx force a Game 5 back in Minnesota?

Mercury vs Lynx WNBA Pick

Following its impressive performance on Friday night, Phoenix enters this contest as a 4.5-point favorite. Here’s a look at what you need to know for both teams ahead of Game 4.

• The Mercury are 6-2 straight-up (SU) in their last eight home games.
• Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its previous five home outings against Minnesota.
• The Lynx are 18-5 in their last 23 contests against the Mercury.
• Minnesota is 15-5 ATS in its previous 20 road matchups against Phoenix.

Phoenix has clearly seized the momentum after winning Games 2 and 3. Look for that trend to continue on Sunday night, especially if Collier’s injury is serious.