US Open Picks: Elmer Moller vs. Tommy Paul & Best Bets (Aug 26)

The high-quality action continues at Flushing Meadows on August 26, as the final batch of first-round matches will take place. The action at Louis Armstrong Stadium will round off with American Tommy Paul taking on Elmer Moller. You can find our best bets for this clash, and our standout US Open picks for day three here.

Elmer Moller vs. Tommy Paul Overview

Odds

Elmer Moller vs. Tommy Paul Head-to-Head Record

This will be the second meeting between Paul and Moller. The only previous encounter came earlier this year at the French Open, with the American coming out on top in a four-set thriller.

Match Preview

There is always increased pressure on the American players at the US Open, meaning that there will be a lot of attention on Tommy Paul when he opens his campaign on Tuesday. The world number 14 is a four-time winner on the ATP Tour, and he will be aiming to better his best showing of the fourth round at Flushing Meadows this year.

Paul has been largely consistent in Grand Slam events throughout 2025, reaching the quarterfinal stage at both the Australian Open and French Open. However, a return to form will be required by the 28-year-old this week, as he was eliminated in the round of 32 at the Cincinnati Masters earlier this month.

Elmer Moller will be a huge outsider in the betting this week. The 22-year-old Dane has endured a frustrating year, epitomised by his recent early exit at the Challenger Bonn in the round of 16. Moller is currently ranked 107^th in the world, and has a 5-8 career record at ATP Tour level.

This year, he will be making his first appearance at the US Open. However, he has already enjoyed excellent showings at the previous Grand Slams on the calendar, reaching the first round proper for the first time in his career in both the French Open and Wimbledon.

Elmer Moller vs. Tommy Paul Picks

Paul will see this as a golden opportunity to gain confidence after a below-par showing at the Cincinnati Masters a few weeks ago. He has already shown his quality on hard courts this calendar year, and his power could be too much for the young Dane to contend with.

US Open Picks for Day Three