Birmingham vs. Leeds FA Cup Picks: Tom Brady to Inspire Blues to Major Cup Upset? (Feb 15)

Published Feb 12, 4:42am ET by

Alex Dudley - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer

Last updated Feb 12, 4:42am ET

Pick status
FA Cup action is set for St. Andrew’s Stadium on February 15. Find the odds and our Birmingham vs. Leeds picks here.

Credit: Shutterstock

Updated Feb 12, 4:42am ET

  • Since Tom Brady’s investment at Birmingham City, the club have achieved promotion to the Championship
  • Leeds confidence will be sky-high after battling back to claim a 2-2 draw at Chelsea

An intense FA Cup clash is set for St. Andrew’s Stadium on Feb 15, as Birmingham City welcome Leeds to the Second City.

Tom Brady was part of the investment group that took over at the Blues two seasons ago, and while relegation was suffered in 2023-24, the team look back on track after winning promotion in 2024-25.

Leeds have shown incredible mentality in their battle to avoid the drop this season, as reflected in their comeback draw at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea on Tuesday.

Birmingham vs. Leeds Overview Watch On: ESPN+

DATE & TIME

Sunday, February 15, 2026 @ 7:00 AM ET
Birmingham
St. Andrew's, Birmingham, England
Leeds
GAME ODDS
BetOnline
Birmingham +240
The Draw +240
Leeds -116

Blues Hoping to Claim Notable Scalp

It has been an exciting period on and off the field for Birmingham, with regeneration plans for the local area and a new stadium allowing fans to dream of a bright future.

The Blues certainly appear to be a club on the rise after winning promotion from League One last term with a record 111 points.

That progress has continued this term, as Birmingham sit within striking distance of the playoff places. Confidence levels should also be high after avoiding defeat in their last seven Championship matches.

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Possible Lineup
(4-2-3-1) Beadle (GK); Osayi-Samuel, Neumann, Klarer, Wagner; Solis, Paik; Roberts, Stansfield, Osman; Ducksch

Whites in Excellent Form Under Farke

It doesn’t seem that long ago since Leeds United fans were calling for Daniel Farke to be sacked. However, the board deserves credit for holding its nerve while other teams around them have panicked.

Results on the field have improved, and there is clearly a strong sense of togetherness in the group, based on their come-from-behind draw at Chelsea on Tuesday. That draw means that Leeds have now suffered just two Premier League defeats in their 12 fixtures since the start of December.

In the previous round of the FA Cup, the Whites showed their class in a 3-1 win over Championship side Derby County.

Possible Lineup
(3-4-2-1) Darlow (GK); Rodon, Bornauw, Bijol; Justin, Ampadu, Gruev, Gudmundsson; James, Aaronson; Okafor
Birmingham vs. Leeds Head-to-Head Record
TOTAL Birmingham Leeds DRAWS
Games 29 15 11 3
Goals 79 41 38

Birmingham vs. Leeds Picks

One of the big upsets in the fourth round of the FA Cup could come at St. Andrew’s. Birmingham have won nine of their previous 15 home fixtures against Leeds, while their dominant record in front of their own fans in 2025-26 has seen them lose just 6% of their fixtures, and allow a low average of 0.94 goals per game.

Pick
Birmingham
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