Aston Villa vs. Leeds EPL Picks: Visitors To Upset the Odds at Villa Park? (Feb 21)

Published Feb 20, 3:21am ET by

Alex Dudley - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer

Last updated Feb 20, 3:21am ET

Pick status
EPL action is set for Villa Park on February 21. Find the odds and our Seattle Aston Villa vs. Leeds picks here.

Credit: Shutterstock

Updated Feb 20, 3:23am ET

  • Aston Villa have failed to win in three of their last four competitive fixtures
  • Leeds have moved six points clear of the drop zone after losing just once in their last five

A huge weekend of Premier League action is set, with a matchup impacting both ends of the standings set for Villa Park. Find the odds and our Aston Villa vs. Leeds picks here.

Unai Emery’s side remain in a solid position to achieve a Champions League spot, but they have recorded just a single win in their last four competitive fixtures.

Leeds have been in brilliant form in recent weeks, moving six points clear of the drop zone after taking eight points from the last 15 available.

Aston Villa vs. Leeds Overview Watch On: NBC

DATE & TIME

Saturday, February 21, 2026 @ 10:00 AM ET
Aston Villa
Villa Park, Birmingham, England
Leeds
GAME ODDS
BetOnline
Aston Villa -118
The Draw +263
Leeds +356

Must-Win Home Clash For Villa

Aston Villa sit third in the EPL standings, but they hold just a five-point advantage over fourth-placed Man United.

Unai Emery’s side were disappointingly beaten in the FA Cup last weekend, losing 3-1 at home to Newcastle. However, Villa boast a strong record against promoted teams under Emery, having avoided defeat in their last 18.

But, goals have dried up for Villa in recent weeks, scoring just four goals in their last seven EPL fixtures. Morgan Rogers will be the key man for the hosts, with the attacking midfielder having registered club-high stats for chances created and assists.

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Possible Lineup
(4-2-3-1) Martinez (GK); Cash, Mings, Konsa, Digne; Onana, Luiz; Rogers, Barkley, Sancho; Watkins

Whites Moving Clear of Relegation Spots

Daniel Farke deserves huge credit at Leeds, as the coach was faced with the prospect of the sack before leading the Whites on an excellent run of form.

Leeds have moved six points clear of the drop, and they showed excellent character in last weekend’s FA Cup tie against Birmingham City to progress via penalties. Leeds have been incredibly difficult to beat since the start of December, with only Man City and Man United suffering fewer defeats.

However, draws have been a common theme, with a league-high seven ties being played out over the same period. Lukas Nmecha is a man in form for the Whites, having racked up three goal involvements in his last two appearances.

Possible Lineup
(4-2-3-1) Darlow (GK); Rodon, Bornauw, Bijol; Justin, Ampadu, Gruev, Gudmundsson; Nmecha, Aaronson; Calvert-Lewin
Aston Villa vs. Leeds Head-to-Head Record
TOTAL Aston Villa Leeds DRAWS
Games 32 13 8 11
Goals 66 36 30

Aston Villa vs. Leeds Picks

This should be a fascinating clash, but it is worth noting that Villa have avoided defeat in their last six against Leeds. But, the fact that the Whites have been difficult to beat shouldn’t be dismissed, meaning that the best value could be on the points being shared.

Pick
The Draw
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