Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Liga MX Apertura Finals Picks: Pressure on Hosts to Build an Advantage? (Dec 11)

Published Dec 8, 5:11am ET by

Alex Dudley - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer

Last updated Dec 8, 5:11am ET

Pick status
The first leg of the Liga MX Apertura final is set for Dec 11. Find the odds and our Tigres UANL vs. Toluca picks here.

Credit: Shutterstock

Updated Dec 8, 5:11am ET

  • Tigres UANL have home-field advantage for the first leg of the Apertura Finals
  • Tigres overcame Cruz Azul in the semi-finals, while Toluca beat Monterrey

The intensity increases in the Liga MX Apertura Finals this week, as the final two collide in the first leg. You can find the odds and our Tigres UANL vs. Toluca picks here.

Tigres UANL held their nerve to progress through to this stage after beating Cruz Azul on away goals in the semi-final. Juan Brunetta scored the crucial goal in the second leg of the tie.

Toluca’s confidence should be sky-high ahead of this clash after finishing top of the regular season standings and overcoming Monterrey in the semi-final round.

Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Overview Watch On: TUDN

DATE & TIME

Thursday, December 11, 2025 @ 10:10 PM ET
Tigres UANL
Estadio Universitario, Mexico
Toluca

Tigres Aiming for First Leg Advantage

Tigres UANL will have the increased pressure on them for the first leg on Dec 11, as they will be aiming to build an advantage ahead of the second leg on Dec 14.

The Mexican side finished second in the regular season standings, losing a league-low of just one game in their 17 outings.

They progressed through to this stage after overcoming Cruz Azul on away goals in a low-scoring tie. It could be worth noting that Tigres have won an impressive 64% of their home games in 2025.

ALSO SEE: Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Picks, Odds, and Preview (Dec 7)

Possible Lineup
(4-4-2) Guzman (GK); Garza, Zwarg, Angulo, Farfan; Lainez, Henrique, Gorriaran, Brunetta; Correa, Ibanez

Toluca Bidding to Continue Hot Streak

Toluca will be aiming to go one better than they did in the Liga MX Apertura stage last season after losing in the final.

Plenty of positives can be taken from their performances throughout the season, as they finished top of the regular season standings, winning a league-high eleven games and suffering just two defeats. Meanwhile, in the previous round, they edged out Monterrey following a 3-2 home success in the second leg.

Paulinho and Helinho netted the crucial goals in the success to secure their second straight appearance at this stage of the competition.

Possible Lineup
(4-4-2) Gonzalez (GK); Barbosa, Briseno, Pereira, Gallardo; Angulo, Romero, Ruiz, Castro; Helinho, Paulinho
Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Head-to-Head Record
TOTAL Tigres UANL Toluca DRAWS
Games 54 16 26 12
Goals 137 64 73

Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Picks

A fascinating first leg is set for this week, and cases can be made for both sides. However, given the stakes that are hanging in the balance, we could see a cagey draw being played out to raise the anticipation ahead of the second leg on Dec 14.

Pick
The Draw
New Player Bonus
50% up to $1000