Monterrey vs. Toluca Liga MX Picks: Regular Season Leaders to Maintain Red-Hot Form? (Dec 3)

Published Dec 3, 3:42am ET by

Alex Dudley - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer

Last updated Dec 3, 3:42am ET

Pick status
Semi-final action in the Apertura Liga MX phase is set for Dec 3. Find the odds and our Monterrey vs. Toluca picks here.

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  • Toluca finished top of the regular season standings with a 11-4-2 record
  • Monterrey boast world-class talent throughout their squad but form has been patchy

The Apertura Phase in Liga MX continues on Dec 3, as a semi-final clash between Monterrey and Toluca will be staged. You can find the odds and our picks for this fascinating showdown here.

Toluca have been one of the standout teams throughout the Mexican season. They ended top of the regular season standings, scoring a league-high 43 goals and conceding just 18 times.

Meanwhile, Monterrey would have been disappointed with their regular season performances, and they will have questions to answer in the semi-final stage this week.

Monterrey vs. Toluca Overview Watch On: TUDN

DATE & TIME

Wednesday, December 3, 2025 @ 10:10 PM ET
Monterrey
Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Mexico
Toluca
GAME ODDS
BetOnline
Monterrey +184
The Draw +244
Toluca +155

Talented Monterrey Have Home Field Advantage

Monterrey undeniably have one of the best rosters in Liga MX this season, but they could only finish a disappointing fifth in the regular season standings.

Their overall form has also been concerning in recent weeks, having lost three of their last five. Their most recent defeat was suffered in the second leg of their quarterfinal against Club America.

However, Monterrey’s progression was largely assured after landing a 2-0 win on home soil in the first leg. The team will be without the suspended Jorge Rodriguez on Wednesday.

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Possible Lineup
(4-4-2) Cardenas (GK); Arteaga, Medina, Ramos, Aguirre; Oliver, Fimbres, Ambriz, Corona; Canales, Berterame

In-Form Toluca Chasing First Leg Advantage

Toluca have enjoyed an excellent campaign to this point. They finished top of the regular season standings, winning a Liga MX-high eleven games.

Furthermore, they also boasted the best attacking record and conceded just 18 goals. Their spot in this stage of the competition was assured after a 2-1 aggregate win over Juarez in the quarterfinal stage.

They recorded a 2-1 win on the road, before playing out a slightly nervy 0-0 draw back in front of their home fans last weekend.

Possible Lineup
(4-4-2) Gonzalez (GK); Barbosa, Briseno, Pereira, Gallardo; Angulo, Romero, Ruiz, Castro; Helinho, Paulinho
Monterrey vs. Toluca Head-to-Head Record
TOTAL Monterrey Toluca DRAWS
Games 53 17 17 19
Goals 140 66 74

Monterrey vs. Toluca Picks

Toluca have been one of the best away teams in Liga MX throughout this season, winning 67% of their games.

They have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches on the road. Meanwhile, they come into this clash having avoided defeat in their last three against Monterrey. Therefore, the preference is for the well-drilled visitors when making Monterrey vs. Toluca picks.

Pick
Toluca (+155)
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