Published Jan 12, 11:20pm ET by
Keith McCarthy - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer
Last updated Jan 12, 11:20pm ET
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Updated Jan 12, 11:20pm ET
The Bills and Broncos meet this week in a key AFC clash. A trip to the AFC Championship Game awaits the winner. Buffalo is favored as the 6-seed on the road, looking to repeat last year's result.
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| Denver Broncos | +1.5 (-105) |
| Buffalo Bills | -1.5 (-105) |
The Bills held off the Jaguars in a closely-contested Wild Card game, winning by a field goal. They'll stay on the road for the remainder of the postseason as the lowest seed remaining, though Buffalo has more playoff experience in their current unit than many of the other teams. The Bills will face Denver's excellent defense this week, needing QB Josh Allen and RB James Cook to both continue thriving to have a chance of winning.
A LITTLE BIT LOUDER NOW‼️
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) January 11, 2026
📺: CBS pic.twitter.com/sIV5h7ubdU
The Broncos had the week off to rest and prepare for this game against Buffalo. They'll be seeking revenge after being eliminated by the Bills in last season's postseason. QB Bo Nix has improved considerably since then and will be seeking an improved result. While Nix leads the way on a consistent offense, Denver's real asset is their defense, which has been comparably strong to their squad from their last title a decade ago.
Pick six in the throwbacks >>>@Island2_1 | 📺: CBS pic.twitter.com/2miF2x8iZp
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) January 4, 2026
Josh Allen has only ever lost in the postseason to Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow. Against a QB in the tier below like Bo Nix, Allen should be able to lead his team to victory should the game be close coming down to the wire. On the other hand, Denver's defense, well-rested squad, and home-field advantage could easily get the best of Buffalo. I see the Broncos entering the last quarter of the game up by enough to hold Allen off.
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Pick
Denver Broncos +1.5
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