LSU vs Houston NCAA Pick: Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium Preview (Dec 27)

Published Dec 24, 1:35pm ET by

Gabriel Kozlow - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer

Last updated Dec 24, 1:35pm ET

Pick status
football eagles

Pixabay-Keith Johnston

Updated Dec 24, 1:35pm ET

  • LSU (7-5) lost to Oklahoma in a close 13-17 battle in their last game.
  • Houston (9-3) beat Baylor with a 31-24 score in their last game.
  • These teams last played in 2000, with LSU winning 28-13.

Let’s get ready to enjoy the Kinder’s Texas Bowl, with the Houston Cougars hosting the LSU Tigers at NRG Stadium. This will be the fourth time these two teams meet, with LSU holding a slim 2–1 advantage. It’s been almost 25 years since these schools last faced off on the field, so let’s see who takes home the victory.

HOUSTON COUGARS vs. LSU TIGERS Overview Watch On: ESPN

DATE & TIME

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 27, 2025 @ 9:15 PM ET
HOUSTON COUGARS
NRG Stadium
Houston, TX
LSU TIGERS
GAME ODDS
BetOnline
HOUSTON COUGARS -135
LSU TIGERS +114

Tigers Leaning on Tough Defense For Win

The LSU Tigers come into this game with a 7–5 record and as slight underdogs at +2.5 on the spread. This will be their 25th straight bowl appearance and their fourth overall trip to this game. They’ll be relying on a tough defensive unit as their weapon of choice, allowing only 18.3 points per game and recording 17 total interceptions this season.

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Interestingly, they had more interceptions on defense than touchdown passes on offense. Their top ball hawks were Harold Perkins (4), A.J. Haulcy (3), and DJ Pickett (3). Since the offense wasn’t particularly explosive for LSU this year, they’ll need to squeeze everything they can out of their defensive squad.

Cougars Look to Get 10 Wins This Season

The Houston Cougars will be making their first Texas Bowl appearance since 2007 after a successful 9–3 season. They’ll be aiming for their 10th win of the year, backed by a top-tier defense that helped them go 6–0 on the road.

As an added edge, Houston will essentially be playing on home turf, making them favorites for this game at -2.5. Connor Weigman, their QB, will look to complement that strong defense with an efficient offense. So far, he’s thrown for 2,475 yards and 21 touchdowns.

LSU vs Houston NCAA Pick

This one should have a defense-first feel, as both teams excel on that side of the ball. You can see it in the low over/under of 41.5 for this game. Houston, as mentioned earlier, is favored at -2.5 with a moneyline of -135.

Our recommended pick is the Houston Cougars -2.5. We feel it will be a close game, but the Cougars should prevail thanks to their home crowd advantage.

Pick
Houston -2.5
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