South Florida vs Memphis NCAAB Pick: Thursday AAC Battle (March 5)

Published Mar 5, 8:57am ET by

Demilade Adelekun - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer

Last updated Mar 5, 8:57am ET

Pick status
basketball

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Updated Mar 5, 9:50am ET

  • South Florida is coming off a 90-62 rout of Tulane on Sunday, clinching the AAC regular season title.
  • Memphis lost 84-68 at East Carolina on Sunday.
  • The last time these two met, Memphis won 84-68 on March 7, 2025 to win the AAC regular season title.

Fresh off clinching the AAC regular season title, USF will travel to Memphis for a game. Can the Tigers upset the champs?

Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls. Overview Watch On: ESPN 2

DATE & TIME

Thursday, March 5, 2026 @ 9:00 PM ET
Memphis Tigers
FedExForum
Memphis, TN
South Florida Bulls.
GAME ODDS
BetOnline
Memphis Tigers +5.5 (-105)
South Florida Bulls. -5.5 (-115)

USF Championship form.

South Florida is 21-8 overall, 13-3 in the AAC, and 1st in the conference. They are slated around a 9 seed for the big dance, but a loss in the AAC tournament could have them on serious bubble watch. For More March Madness Betting Odds and Predictions, see the Full Hub".

USF has cruised through the American Conference. After their last win versus Tulane, they are officially the regular-season champs. They have won 7 in a row and are looking to carry the momentum. Though they are favored to win the AAC tournament, it may be a prerequisite for their March hopes. Should USF still be on the bubble?

Dreadful Stretch for the Tigers

Memphis is 12-17 overall, 7-9 in the AAC, and 10th in the conference. Their hopes for the NCAA tournament are next to zero.

The Tigers were legitimate contenders in the American, but have imploded. After stating leauge play 7-3, they have dropped six in a row. Now nearing the bottom of the table, can they turn it around at the right time?

South Florida vs Memphis NCAAB Pick:

South Florida vs Memphis is an interesting one. A rematch of last year's championship game has two teams playing in completely different forms. USF can't lose while Memphis can't buy a win. Memphis is a good team, and they are playing at home, why the line is low. However, we believe USF is a straightforward pick. Our pick is South Florida ATS (-5.5).

Pick
South Florida ATS (-5.5)
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