#6 Tennessee vs #3 Virginia NCAAB Pick: Vols Look to Reach the Sweet 16 in Philadelphia (Mar 22)

Published Mar 22, 3:26am ET by

Demilade Adelekun - Betting Preview Analyst and Sports Writer

Last updated Mar 22, 3:26am ET

Pick status
  • Tennessee beat Miami (Ohio) 78-56 in the first round.
  • Virginia beat Wright State 82-73 in the first round.
  • Virginia leads the all-time NCAA Tournament series 2-1.

Two defense-first programs. One Sweet 16 spot. Philadelphia, tonight, 6:10 p.m. ET on TNT.

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers Overview Watch On: TNT

DATE & TIME

Sunday, March 22, 2026 @ 6:10 PM ET
Tennessee Volunteers
Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA
Virginia Cavaliers
GAME ODDS
BetOnline
Tennessee Volunteers -118
Virginia Cavaliers -102

Onyenso and the Wall Virginia Builds

Virginia is 30-5 overall and the 3rd seed in the South Region. It is their first NCAA Tournament win since the 2019 national championship.

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Virginia's defense is the entire argument. They rank 5th nationally in two-point percentage allowed. This is the exact area where Tennessee lives. Onyenso blocks 3.0 shots per game and patrols the paint as well as anyone in the tournament. Virginia has the defensive chops to match up with Tennessee and the offensive firepower with the likes of De Ridder and White. Can they make a run under Ryan Odom?

Gillespie Is on a Different Level Right Now

Tennessee is 23-11 overall and the 6th seed in the Midwest Region — making their eighth straight NCAA Tournament appearance under Rick Barnes, who has reached the second weekend three straight years, including back-to-back Elite Eight runs.

Ja'Kobi Gillespie leads the Volunteers at roughly 18 ppg and 5.5 apg. He just put up 29 points and 9 assists against Miami (OH) and made it look easy. Can he keep this form? Tennessee is a team expecting to reach the second weekend, and Gilespie has the guard play to lead them there.

#3 Virginia vs #6 Tennessee NCAAB Pick:

Virginia's defense is built perfectly to stop Tennessee. Onyenso shuts down the paint where Ament and Estrella operate, forcing the Vols to shoot threes, something they rarely want to do. We also think Virginia has offensive firepower to match. Our pick is Virginia (-102).

Pick
Virginia (-102)
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