UFC Perth Picks for Carlos Ulberg vs. Dominick Reyes and Other Fights on September 27
If you’re looking for UFC Perth picks, you’re at the right place. We’ll now analyze the main event – Carlos...

source: AI (Grok)
Last updated Sep 10, 8:39am ET
If you’re looking for UFC Perth picks, you’re at the right place. We’ll now analyze the main event – Carlos Ulberg vs. Dominick Reyes – as well as explain what kind of ending we expect in the Justin Tafa vs. Ibo Aslan fight.
Then, we’ll proceed to present you with betting predictions for all remaining fights scheduled for September 27 in Perth.
Carlos Ulberg vs. Dominick Reyes: The Devastator’s Resurrection Continues
FIGHTER | ODDS |
---|---|
Carlos Ulberg | -165 |
Dominick Reyes | +145 |
Ulberg vs. Reyes is a fight that could shape the future of the UFC Light Heavyweight Division. It’s The Devastator’s story that makes this matchup even more compelling.
After starting 12-0, he pushed Jon Jones to the limit in 2020, only to lose a razor-close decision. That setback sparked a brutal skid, followed by nearly two years away from the cage.
But since his return, Dom has been on fire, going 3-0 with quick finishes of Nikita Krylov and Dustin Jacoby, plus a grinding TKO over Anthony Smith, where he landed a career-high 121 significant strikes.
That resurgence has put him right back in the title conversation, and a win over Ulberg could seal another shot at UFC gold. But that’s easier said than done because “Black Jag” is a real beast in the MMA cage.
The New Zealander comes in on an eight-fight winning streak, armed with vicious kickboxing and the highest striking volume at 205lb. He’s powerful, accurate, and relentless, landing 6.77 significant strikes per minute — the highest number in his division.
But he’s also very hittable, absorbing 4.21 strikes per 60 seconds. We think that it’s something Reyes will look to exploit at UFC Perth.
Our prediction is that Reyes will find an opening and land a punch that will put his opponent to sleep. Therefore, Reyes by KO/TKO is a very tasty pick.
Pick
Dominick Reyes by KO/TKO
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Junior Tafa vs. Ibo Aslan: Someone’s Getting KO-ed
FIGHTER | ODDS |
---|---|
Junior Tafa | +125 |
Ibo Aslan | -145 |
Tafa vs. Aslan is a Light Heavyweight fight, but both used to be Heavyweight fighters in the past. They’ve lost some weight, but their immense power remains. That’s why our prediction is that the UFC Perth co-main will end in a knockout.
But who’s more likely to win? Ibo Aslan is the betting favorite with UFC Perth odds of -145. No surprise there, really, as the Turkish fighter is 14-3 overall, with each of his wins happening by KO/TKO.
It sounds impressive, but the thing is that he hasn’t fought against too many elite opponents. In fact, the toughest fighter he’s ever defeated is Anton Turkalj a year ago.
Junior Tafa isn’t much better either, but at least he’s fighting on (sort of) home turf. He’s a New Zealander, and the event is taking place in Australia – not the same, but still way more similar than Australia and Turkey.
That said, the crowd is almost certainly going to be on his side. Plus, his brother will be there as well – Justin is fighting Louie Sutherland in the prelims.
Pick
Junior Tafa by KO/TKO
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UFC Perth Picks for All Remaining Fights
- Jack Jenkins vs. Ramon Taveras: Jack Jenkins
- Jimmy Crute vs. Ivan Erslan: Jimmy Crute
- Jake Matthews vs. Neil Magny: Jake Matthews
- Tom Nolan vs. Charlie Campbell: Tom Nolan
- Justin Tafa vs. Louie Sutherland: Justin Tafa
- Navajo Stirling vs. Rodolfo Bellato: Navajo Stirling
- Loma Lookboonmee vs. Alexia Thainara: Alexia Thainara
- Jonathan Micallef vs. Oban Elliott: Oban Elliott
- Cameron Rowston vs. Andre Petroski: Andre Petroski
- Colby Thicknesse vs. Josias Musasa: Colby Thicknesse
- Jamie Mullarkey vs. Rolando Bedoya: Jamie Mullarkey
- Michelle Montague vs. Luana Carolina: Michelle Montague
- Brando Peričić vs. Elisha Ellison: Elisha Ellison
Junior’s bro, Justin Tafa, is the type of heavyweight who doesn’t play around on the scorecards. All seven of his wins came by KO/TKO, and that’s exactly how we see him winning again.
We’re also predicting a finish in Jenkins vs. Taveras. Jenkins is coming off a submission loss to Gabriel Santos, but should bounce back strong here. Beyond that, we like Jimmy Crute, Jake Matthews, and Tom Nolan to get their hands raised, though we’re less certain they’ll all deliver knockouts.
Another name to watch is Navajo Stirling. Sitting at 7-0, he’s hunting a Top 15 spot in the Light Heavyweight Division, and the best way to make that happen is with a highlight-reel KO.
Elsewhere, Oban Elliot, Andre Petroski, and Jamie Mullarkey all have the tools to close the show inside the distance.
And don’t overlook the WMMA bouts! Michelle Montague and Alexia Thainara both look poised to grab submission wins.
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