Yankees vs Blue Jays MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 3)

The New York Yankees (48–38) visit the Toronto Blue Jays (48–38) aiming to avoid a four-game sweep. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. New York sends Clarke Schmidt (4–4, 3.09 ERA, 72 K) to the mound against Toronto’s Chris Bassitt (7–4, 4.29 ERA, 93 K) in a late-season AL East showdown.

• The Blue Jays have swept the first three games, including an 11–9 comeback win that featured 12 total runs scored.
• Schmidt logs 8.6 K/9, has seven quality starts this season, and opponents hit just .193 against him.
• Bassitt struggled in his last outing (8 ER over 2 IP) but averages 8.9 K/9 across 17 starts.

New York Yankees Player Prop Pick: Clarke Schmidt

Schmidt anchors a rotation that balances veteran talent and deep Ks, offering stability amid recent lineup inconsistency. The offense—bolstered by Judge and Stanton—needs clutch production to stay alive in this series.

• Schmidt averages 8.6 K/9 and has four starts this season with 7+ Ks.
• Blue Jays strike out at a league-average rate (~8.1 K/game), giving Schmidt ample whiff opportunities.
• He consistently goes 5–6 innings, providing volume to reach 7–8 Ks.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Pick: Chris Bassitt

Toronto has dominated via offense and pitching, riding a three-game win streak to tie the Yankees for the AL East lead. They bring momentum and confidence, but Bassitt’s inconsistency could be a vulnerability.

• Bassitt gave up 8 runs in his last start and has a 4.29 ERA with a .272 opponent average.
• Yankees have scored 9+ runs in two of the first three games—offensive production is present.
• The over/under sits at 8.5, with model suggestions leaning toward overs in this high-scoring series.