Yankees vs Blue Jays MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 2)

The New York Yankees (48–37) look to stop a two-game skid as they visit the Toronto Blue Jays (47–38) in Game 3 of their four-game set. Toronto has won both matchups this week, including a dominant 12–5 rout. First pitch is at 7:07 p.m. ET in what’s shaping up as a pitcher’s duel featuring rookie Will Warren against veteran José Berríos.

• The Blue Jays have rattled off back-to-back wins, including a 12-run outburst fueled by both offense and lock-down pitching.
• New York turns to Will Warren (5–4, 4.37 ERA), whose peripherals suggest more upside, facing Toronto’s José Berríos (4–3, 3.26 ERA), strong but prone to free passes.
• The total sits around 9 runs. With contrasting pitcher styles, this game sets up a classic strikeout-over/under contest.

New York Yankees Player Prop Pick: Will Warren

Yankees pitching has been sturdy, with Fried and Rodón anchoring the staff. Warren’s peripherals (FIP/xFIP) suggest he’s outperforming his ERA, and he should deliver another quality outing. Offensively, Judge and Stanton ignite production, though the team needs better situational hitting.

• Warren has exceeded this strikeout line in 11 of his last 13 starts, including seven Ks in his last outing.
• Toronto ranks among MLB’s lowest in strikeout rate—making every whiff valuable.
• Expect 5–6 innings of high-contact opportunity.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Pick: José Berríos

Toronto’s resurgence comes via power (Springer, Guerrero Jr.) and depth. Berríos brings veteran pace and strikeout stuff but has struggled with consistency. The bullpen is reliable, and Toronto aims to reinforce momentum at home.

• Berríos has held batters to a 3.26 ERA this season, but trades K upside for limiting damage.
• Yankees produce contact and situational power, not big innings.
• Berríos limits free passes, giving him a bullish floor.