Wings vs Mercury WNBA Player Prop Picks (Jun 11)

Tip-off is set for 10:00 p.m. ET at PHX Arena in Phoenix. The Phoenix Mercury (6–4) host the struggling Dallas Wings (1–9), fresh off another rough road trip. Phoenix is favored by 6 points as they look to stay hot, while Dallas seeks momentum with rookie Paige Bueckers edging closer to a return.

• The Mercury, with a 5–3 record at home and strong perimeter depth, has bolstered its position despite injuries to Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas.
• The Wings are 1–9, including 0–4 at home, and Paige Bueckers’ expected return may shift dynamics.
• Phoenix defeated Dallas in a high-scoring 107–92 win in May.

Dallas Wings Player Prop Pick: Arike Ogunbowale

Despite record woes, Dallas ranks second in the league in rebounds (37.4 RPG) and fifth in assists, showing promise. Arike Ogunbowale is fueling the offense with 22.2 PPG and 5.1 RPG, but turnovers and spacing remain issues. Ogunbowale is the engine of the Wings’ offense. Even in losses, her volume keeps her above 22.5 in most matchups—especially here.

• Elite Volume: Ogunbowale leads Dallas with 22.2 PPG and takes high usage (18+ shots).
• Past Production: She’s averaged 28.3 PPG against Phoenix in recent seasons.
• Game Flow: High-scoring tempo and potential blowouts give her plenty of scoring chances.

Phoenix Mercury Player Prop Pick: Kahleah Copper

The Mercury boast elite depth and dual-point guard balance with Kahleah Copper (21.1 PPG) and Natasha Cloud (7.6 APG). They lead in rebounding efficiency and three-point defense, making them a tough test for Dallas. Copper’s inside-out scoring prowess makes this prop a safe over in a matchup that plays to her strengths.

• Scoring Consistency: Copper is posting 21.1 PPG and hit 32 in three recent games.
• Matchup Advantage: The Wings surrender the second-most paint points (40.0 per game), ideal for Copper’s slashing game.
• Head-to-Head Success: She’s averaged over 30 against Dallas, making this line attainable.