Tigers vs Pirates MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 21)

The Detroit Tigers (60–40) visit PNC Park for a showdown against the struggling Pittsburgh Pirates (39–61) at 6:40 PM ET. Jack Flaherty (6–9, 4.65 ERA) starts for Detroit, while the Pirates counter with rising star Paul Skenes (4–8, 2.01 ERA). Pittsburgh is favored at home despite recent form, as Detroit looks to stay hot after a Sunday night win behind Tarik Skubal.

• Pittsburgh is –125 on the moneyline, with Detroit at +105; Run line: Pirates –1.5 (+176), Tigers +1.5 (–214); Over/Under is 7 runs.
• Skenes has allowed 5+ hits in just 8 of 20 starts, but frequently exits after five innings. The Tigers rank 14th in MLB in hits, creating volatility in his hits allowed prop.
• Flaherty has recorded 7+ strikeouts in four straight outings, and faces a high-strikeout Pirates lineup that leads MLB with 8.7 K/9 recently.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Pick: Paul Skenes

Skenes has dominated this season and typically limits hits — exceeding 4.5 hits only eight times in 20 starts. The Tigers are average in contact, and Paul rarely lasts deep enough for hit accumulation.

• Only 8 of 20 starts allowed 5+ hits.
• Tigers rank just 14th in total hits.
• Frequently exits after five innings, reducing exposure.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Pick: Jack Flaherty

Flaherty has been racking up strikeouts lately — exceeding 6.5 Ks in four consecutive starts. The high-strikeout Pirates offense (8.7 K/9) plays right into his strengths, making this prop a strong value.

• Recorded 7+ strikeouts in each of his last 4 outings.
• Pittsburgh leads MLB with a high strikeout rate (8.7 K/9).
• Consistent strikeout production backed by recent form.