Rays vs Red Sox MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 10)

First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET on MLB Network, NESN, and FSUN. The Tampa Bay Rays (50–43) travel to Boston to close out a pivotal four-game AL East series. The Rays send Taj Bradley (5–6, 4.79 ERA) to the hill, while the Red Sox counter with Walker Buehler (6–6, ~6.25 ERA, 7.6 K/9).

• Both starters have struggled recently: Bradley’s ERA is near 4.80, while Buehler sports a hefty 6.25 ERA overall—though he’s a stronger performer at Fenway (3.93 ERA).
• Boston enters on a six-game winning streak, fifth-best run production in MLB, while Tampa Bay is fifth in offense and averages 8.1 K/game.
• Total set at 9 runs, indicating expectations for a moderately scoring game in this AL East rivalry.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Pick: Taj Bradley

The Rays bring strong offensive output and ranked seventh in MLB run production across their schedule. Taj Bradley offers command but lacks swing-and-miss ability (averaging under 1 K/inning). With Harper’s defensive struggles behind him, he may surrender contact rather than whiff.

• Managed fewer than 5.5 Ks in most starts; Boston bats make consistent contact (.306 average).
• His strikeout rate and opponent profile support a modest ceiling.
• Bradley’s ceiling is capped by contact-based hitters and low whiff output.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Pick: Walker Buehler

Boston has surged thanks to young talent like Roman Anthony, Trevor Story, and Ceddanne Rafaela, averaging 5.1 runs per game over their six-game win streak. Buehler’s struggles have eased at home, and he’ll aim to sustain his improved performance at Fenway.

• Has eclipsed 15.5 outs in six of seven home outings, with an ERA of ~3.93 at Fenway.
• Expected to work 5–6 innings, making this a strong bet given his innings pace and home performance.
• A solid outing at favorable odds; this plus-money under through the sixth inning is a smart play.