Rangers vs Padres MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 6)

First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET, featured on Sunday Night Baseball. The Rangers (44–45) aim to complete a comeback in the series, while the Padres (47–41) look to maintain dominance at home.

• The Padres are strong favorites (~56% implied win probability) in a low-scoring outlook—total is set at 8.5 runs.
• Texas relies on rookie Jack Leiter (4–5, 4.29 ERA, 58 Ks in 71 IP) for consistency.
• San Diego counters with potential opener David Morgan (0–1, 2.08 ERA in relief), with Kyle Hart as a depth option.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Pick: Jack Leiter

Leiter has shown strikeout potential (58 Ks over 71 innings) and projects to offer 5–6 innings in this spot. Texas leads the AL in team ERA (~3.22) thanks to strong outings from its young rotation. However, the offense lags in power (.368 SLG) and relies on situational hitting and pitching support to stay competitive.

• Leiter averages ~7.3 K/9 with solid strikeout-to-walk ratio over 14 starts.
• Opposing batters strike out frequently—Padres rank in MLB’s top 10 for K rate.
• Expected 5–6 innings and solid command make 6+ strikeouts highly attainable.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Pick: David Morgan

The Padres are elite at home, with a disciplined lineup led by stars like Tatis Jr. and Machado, and sustained by efficient pitching and bullpen depth . Morgan and Hart offer strong command profiles; overall San Diego maintains a balanced run prevention approach and benefits from atmospheric factors at Petco.

• Morgan boasts a 2.08 ERA in relief work, with high strikeout efficiency (10.4 K/9).
• As a likely opener, he’s set up for limited exposure and strong matchup control.
• The low total forecast suggests few runs expected early—ideal for an under play.