Pirates vs Tigers MLB Player Prop Picks (Jun 17)

First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET at Comerica Park. The surging Tigers (46–27) host the struggling Pirates (29–44) in the opener of a three-game series.

• Detroit holds a commanding 69% win probability, supported by strong home performance (24‑11).
• Pittsburgh is averaging near the bottom in team batting and road performance (10‑25).
• Starting pitchers: Lefty Bailey Falter (Pirates, 5–3, 3.36 ERA, 46 K) faces Casey Mize (Tigers, 6–2, 2.95 ERA, 55 K) in a well-matched duel.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Pick: Casey Mize

Pittsburgh’s season remains defined by offensive woes, ranking near the bottom in hits and on-base percentage. Interim manager Don Kelly has brought minor optimism, but the team faces an uphill battle with contact and run production.

• Mize struck out seven in his last start and averages 8.1 K/9.
• Pittsburgh’s strikeout rate ranks among the league’s highest — ideal for Mize’s swing-and-miss arsenal.
• He’s recorded 6+ Ks in multiple outings this year.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Pick: Bailey Falter

One of MLB’s hottest teams, Detroit boasts elite pitching and a top-tier offense. Casey Mize anchors a rotation complemented by Tarik Skubal, and the lineup depth and ballpark advantage make Detroit a strong favorite.

• Falter has failed to exceed three strikeouts in his last five starts.
• Detroit’s disciplined batters focus on contact, suppressing punchout upside.
• With a pitch-to-contact approach, Falter is primed for an efficient outing without high strikeout totals.