Orioles vs Rays MLB Player Prop Picks (Jun 16)

First pitch is scheduled for 7:35 p.m. ET at George M. Steinbrenner Field. The Rays (39–32) enter as favorites over the Orioles (29–40) following strong recent home play and a reliable rotation performance.

• Baltimore sends right-hander Zach Eflin (6–2, 4.08 ERA, 1.09 WHIP), while Tampa Bay counters with right-hander Ryan Pepiot (3–6, 3.31 ERA, 1.14 WHIP).
• Moneyline set around –145, with a 61.6% win probability on MLB’s game predictor.
• Recent Orioles–Rays games have gone under 9 runs eight of the last ten times.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Pick: Zach Eflin

Baltimore enters after an 11–2 win over the Angels, but remains in a slump overall. Eflin is effective—limiting opponents to three runs or fewer in 13 of 14 starts—but the lineup ranks poorly in batting average (.240) and runs per game (3.9).

• A control pitcher with only 36 strikeouts in 53 innings—unlikely to exceed six punchouts .
• Tampa Bay is disciplined at the plate, ranking above average in contact and low strikeout rate.
• Expect efficient innings, not strikeout-heavy frames.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Pick: Ryan Pepiot

The Rays have surged in June and are solid at home. Pepiot has been consistent, allowing three runs or fewer in 13 of 14 starts. Tampa Bay’s pitching ranks among the top in ERA (3.50) and WHIP (1.18), while their offense remains balanced and opportunistic.

• Pepiot averages nearly 8.1 K/9 innings with consistent strikeout totals in recent starts.
• He has recorded six or more strikeouts in multiple recent outings.
• Facing a struggling Orioles offense, Pepiot can rack up whiffs.