Orioles vs Guardians MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 22)

The Baltimore Orioles (44–55) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (49–50). Baltimore sends Tomoyuki Sugano (7–5, 4.44 ERA) to the mound, while Cleveland counters with Tanner Bibee (5–9, 4.21 ERA). The Guardians have quietly taken control of the series, winning eight of their last ten games.

• Guardians are –160 moneyline favorites, with an over/under of 8.5 runs.
• Sugano has allowed 19 home runs in 18 starts, making him vulnerable to power.
• Bibee has delivered seven quality starts and boasts a 7.8 K/9 rate at home.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Pick: José Ramírez

José Ramírez has come alive recently, racking up a home run and double in his last 10 plate appearances against Sugano. He’s consistently finding extra-base hits and has a career edge against righties.

• 15 of his 19 homers have come vs right-handed pitchers.
• Multi-base output in recent at-bats against Sugano.
• Guardians rely on him for consistent run production.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Pick: Ramón Urías

Urías hasn’t homered in 45 games and lacks power pop, so fading a long ball is reasonable—especially in Cleveland, where power is suppressed.

• Singles-focused hitter (.240/.310/.380).
• Sugano’s home run issues stem broadly, not on contact for Urías.
• Cleveland park dampens long balls.