Orioles vs Guardians MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 21)

The Baltimore Orioles (44–54) are in Cleveland to face the Guardians (48–50) at Progressive Field, first pitch at 6:40 PM ET. Baltimore sends Tomoyuki Sugano (7–5, 4.44 ERA), who’s faltered with home runs lately, while Cleveland counters with Tanner Bibee (5–9, 4.21 ERA), who’s delivered quality innings. The Guardians are riding an 8‑2 surge and have taken 6 of their past 7 home tilts against AL East foes.

• Guardians are -137 on the moneyline, Orioles +113, with the run line at Guardians -1.5 (+152) and O/U set at 8.5 runs.
• Sugano has allowed 19 HR in 18 starts, posting a 6.62 ERA since June 1, making Cleveland’s power hitters a strong fantasy play.
• Bibee has recorded seven quality starts, averaging 7.8 K/9 at home, which supports a strikeout prop.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Pick: Ramón Urías

Álvarez has been productive in small-ball situations but has just 1 HR in his last 45 games, and Sugano’s struggles have come from long balls—not singles. With Cleveland’s ballpark suppressing the HR boom, Urías is not a likely candidate for a long ball tonight.

• Singles-heavy bat with minimal power––.240/.310/.380 slash line this year.
• Sugano’s HR issues stem more from flyballs, meaning extra-base hits are less likely.
• Cleveland’s home pitcher-friendly park limits home run chances.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Pick: José Ramírez

José Ramírez is set for a big night against Sugano, who’s trending dramatically worse — giving up power and average. With three hits, including a home run and a double in five post-All-Star at-bats, Ramirez has the momentum to compile multiple bases tonight.

• 15 of his 19 homers this season have come off righties.
• Recorded a HR, double, and 2 RBI in his last 10 PA vs. Sugano.
• Guardians focus on balanced offense with Ramírez leading the charge.