Mets vs Orioles MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 8)

First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. The New York Mets (52–39) open a three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles (40–49). Mets send veteran arm Clay Holmes to the hill, while Baltimore counters with struggling young righty Brandon Young. Expect a strategic pitcher’s duel with a striking mismatch.

• Clay Holmes is 8–4 with a 2.99 ERA, allowing ≤3 ER in 14 of his last 16 starts.
• Brandon Young has a 7.02 ERA, issuing 11 walks in 16.2 innings over four starts (all with ≥3 ER).
• Mets are favored (‑130 ML), with the total set near 9.5 runs; under is appealing in a pitching matchup.

New York Mets Player Prop Pick: Clay Holmes

The Mets have steadied after a slow stretch and remain in playoff contention, bolstered by Holmes’ veteran consistency and soon-to-be returns of Senga and Manaea. Offensively, they rank 15th in runs per game and recently regained form with series wins over the Yankees and Brewers.

• Averaging 4.5 K per game and routinely delivers strikeouts, even as a ground-ball pitcher.
• Orioles rank in bottom third for contact; Holmes’ mix is effective.
• Expect 5–6 innings with chance to reach 6+ Ks.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Pick: Brandon Young

Baltimore is hovering around .500, relying on young talent amid inconsistent pitching. The offense is paced by Gunnar Henderson (.778 OPS) and Ryan O’Hearn (.839 OPS), but the staff ranks 28th in ERA (4.94), creating instability behind starter Young.

• Has allowed ≥3 ER in all starts (7.02 ERA, 1.98 WHIP).
• Mets lineup averages 4.4 runs/game with power threats (Alonso, Lindor, Soto).
• Camden Yards tempers homer risk, but Young often allows early damage.