The Phoenix Mercury visit the New York Liberty at Barclays Center in a high-stakes Eastern Conference matchup. The Liberty, at full strength with Jonquel Jones returning, are strong home favorites. Expect a strategic battle until Liberty pull away.

  • The Liberty are favored by about 6 points and own a 73% win probability in simulations.
  • Jonquel Jones returned for the Liberty’s July 22 game and helped snap their midseason skid.
  • Phoenix has won five of their last six, led by Satou Sabally and Lexi Held, but struggles on the road.

New York Liberty Player Prop Pick: Jonquel Jones

Jones has quietly reasserted herself as a two-way force upon returning recently. In her first game back, she posted 18 points and 9 rebounds in just 23 minutes. She’s recorded double-doubles in 6 of her 10 games this season, and the Liberty retain a strong rebounding advantage at home.

  • Delivered 18pts and 9 boards in limited minutes after return.
  • Averaging a double-double pace—6 such games this year.
  • Elite rebound contributor on both ends of the floor.
Pick
Jonquel Jones to record a double‑double (+350)
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Phoenix Mercury Player Prop Pick: Satou Sabally

The Mercury lean heavily on Sabally for interior production, and New York’s bigger lineup creates opportunities for boards. Sabally is averaging ~7.7 rebounds per game this season and cleared 6 in her last two outings, including 6 boards vs. Liberty previously.

  • Season average: ~7.7 rebounds/game.
  • Exceeded 6 rebounds in two of her last three matchups.
  • Matchup advantage with Phoenix needing boards against Liberty’s size.
Pick
Satou Sabally Over 6 Rebounds (–105)
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Kervin Coleman
Kervin Coleman

Sports Analyst

Kervin is a Kean University graduate with a bachelor`s degree in Communications Journalism. He also played collegiate football there, as a team captain and starting Outside Linebacker. I think he knows what he\'s talking about. Make sure to tune in to see what comes next!

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