Mercury vs Connecticut Sun WNBA Player Prop Picks (Jun 18)

Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville. The Phoenix Mercury (8–4) visit the struggling Connecticut Sun (2–9). The Mercury are strong favorites after a 76–70 win over the Aces, while the Sun continue to struggle, averaging only 71 points per game.

• Phoenix leads the Western Conference standings (third), with Satou Sabally averaging 20.6 PPG and 7.9 RPG. They’ve won two straight and give off strong team trajectory.
• Connecticut ranks last in the league offensively (71.3 PPG), with Tina Charles contributing 17.1 PPG and 6.4 RPG. They’ve lost four straight, including 88–71 vs. Indiana.
• Phoenix enters with a 13.5-point line and game total at 156.5; wide scoring gap expected.

Phoenix Mercury Player Prop Pick: Satou Sabally

Phoenix is powered by Satou Sabally’s all-around production (20.6 PPG, 7.9 RPG, 2.9 APG). Despite missing key veterans (Kahleah Copper, Alyssa Thomas), they’ve leaned on their deep rotation and young talent—Monique Akoa Makani and Lexi Held—to open 8–4 and climb in the standings.

• Sabally averages 20.6 PPG and scored 22 in their most recent win over the Aces.
• With a depleted bench, she remains the clear offensive focal point.
• Connecticut allows 77.6 PPG and ranks last defensively—ideal for her to surpass the line.

Connecticut Sun Player Prop Pick: Tina Charles

The Sun are mired in a rebuild and came off a heavy loss to Indiana, falling to 2–9. Tina Charles remains the lone offensive anchor (17.1 PPG), while the bench and supporting cast have struggled. Tallies of three-pointers have been scarce (3/21 vs. Indiana).

• Charles has tallied 17+ points in four of her last five games, including 20 in the loss to Indiana.
• She remains the Sun’s primary scorer and will receive high usage again.
• Phoenix’s interior defense lacks size, allowing Charles easier looks inside.