Diamondbacks vs. Tigers MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 28)

First pitch at 6:40 PM ET from Comerica Park, as the Arizona Diamondbacks (51–55) face off with the Detroit Tigers (60–46). Arizona turns to Eduardo Rodríguez (3–6, 5.50 ERA, 1.65 WHIP), while Detroit counters with Casey Mize (9–4, 3.40 ERA, 1.28 WHIP). The Tigers are modest favorites (~–124 ML), with the total sitting near 9 runs.

• The Tigers enter with an ~62% simulated win probability after winning 8 of their last 10 (~60–46 record).
• Rodríguez has struggled with a high WHIP (1.65) and ERA (5.50); Mize has been more reliable and has averaged 3.4 K/BB ratio.
• Detroit games trend Under (22‑27‑4 O/U at home), and Arizona road games also lean Under (26‑24‑4).

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Pick: Eugenio Suárez

Suárez remains Arizona’s most prolific power bat, leading the team with 36 home runs and driving in over 85 runs this year. Against a Mize (3.40 ERA but occasional soft contact exposure), he’s a strong upside play for extra-base action.

• 36 HR, 87 RBI, consistently a top-line prop option.
• Often homes in on middle-of-the-order fastballs and mistake pitches.
• Models frequently list Over 1.5 TB on Suárez as value at +150.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Pick: Riley Greene

Greene continues to anchor Detroit’s offense with power and patience. With 25 HR and 81 RBI on the year, he’s one of MLB’s more consistent extra-base hitters—particularly vs. lefties like Rodríguez.

• 25 HR, strong slugger at the heart of Detroit’s lineup.
• Good matchup vs. Rodríguez’s elevated WHIP and HR rate.
• Often clears 1.5 TB per game with runway for multi-base games.