Diamondbacks vs Pirates MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 25)

First pitch from PNC Park at 6:40 PM ET as the Arizona Diamondbacks (50–53) face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (42–61). Arizona sends Ryne Nelson (6–2, 3.52 ERA) to the mound, while Pittsburgh counters with Mike Burrows (1–3, 4.70 ERA). Arizona is the slight favorite, with a total set right at 9 runs.

• Nelson ranks among MLB’s elite grounded-out pitchers, allowing just 63 hits in 84.1 innings. Chicago batters are hitting just .204 against him this season.
• Burrows has struggled to go deep into games, averaging only 4.2 innings per start with a 4.70 ERA and only one quality start.
• Arizona’s offense ranks 2nd in MLB slugging percentage and 5th in doubles — they’ve accumulated 146 homers this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Pick: Ryne Nelson

Nelson has carved out consistent strikeout totals despite not being a traditional strikeout pitcher—he’s recorded 6 or more Ks in 4 of his last 7 starts. The Pirates’ aggressive approach at the plate makes them vulnerable to his fastball/changeup mix.

• Averaging 7.4 K/9 with a 1.06 WHIP.
• Pirates rank among the top 5 in MLB for strikeout rate, giving Nelson favorable matchup leverage.
• Offered at plus-money odds, making this a value play.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Pick: Gerraldo Perdomo

Perdomo is red-hot, slashing above .550 over his past five games and piling on multi-hit efforts. He faces a Pirates starter weak against lefties and a spacious PNC Park could offer extra-base opportunities.

• Recently batting over .550 with at least two bases per game at a near-daily pace.
• In limited ABs vs. Burrows: 3-for-5 with hard contact across those matchups.
• +130 odds deliver solid value with upside in his launch profile.