Cubs vs Yankees MLB Player Prop Picks (Jul 11)

The Chicago Cubs head to Yankee Stadium to open the series against the New York Yankees. Carlos Rodón (9–6, 3.30 ERA) starts for the Yankees, while the Cubs will deploy a bullpen-opening strategy anchored by Chris Flexen (0.83 ERA in relief so far). The Yankees are riding a four-game win streak, but Chicago’s offense continues to roll despite being on the road.

• Cubs +1.5 on the run line sits at around –125; Yankees are favorite on moneyline at approx. –185, with the total at 9 runs.
• Rodón remains a high-strikeout hurler, but his peripheral metrics have dipped slightly, making his hits allowed prop a better value than strikeouts.
• Seiya Suzuki has excelled against lefties, averaging 3.0 H/R/RBI per game, with a 60%+ rate of clearing 1.5 combined H/R/RBI vs. southpaws.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Pick: Seiya Suzuki

Suzuki has been a one-man wrecking crew against lefties—putting up 2+ H/R/RBI in over half his games this season and 3+ on average when facing them. With Rodón’s control volatility and Chicago’s potent lineup, Suzuki stands out as an elite play.

• Suzuki is batting .331 vs. LHP with a .573 SLG.
• Averaging 2.7 H+R+RBI over his last 10 games.
• Rodón’s WHIP vs. RHBs is 1.31 — well above league average.

New York Yankees Player Prop Pick: Carlos Rodón

Carlos Rodón has been effective overall this season but has shown signs of regression lately, especially against contact-heavy lineups. He’s allowed 5+ hits in four of his last six starts and now faces a Cubs offense that crushes lefties. With Chicago’s top-end bats in good form, this sets up as a strong spot to fade Rodón’s contact suppression.

• Cubs rank 1st in MLB in OPS vs. left-handers (.756).
• Rodón has allowed 5+ hits in 4 of his last 6 starts.
• Cubs have six hitters batting over .280 vs. LHP this year.