Braves vs Mets MLB Player Prop Picks (Jun 23)

Atlanta Braves (35–41) begin a four-game series at Queens against the New York Mets (46–32). The Braves swept the Mets in Atlanta last week and enter as slight favorites, while the Mets look to snap a five-game slump at home. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field.

• RHP Spencer Schwellenbach (5–4, 3.26 ERA, 92 K) vs. RHP Paul Blackburn (0–1, 6.92 ERA, 8 K). Blackburn has struggled lately and walked multiple Braves in his last appearance.
• Braves are 6–4 ATS when favored at around –135 under Schwellenbach; Mets have dropped both Blackburn starts and sit on a five-game losing streak.
• Mets rank among MLB leaders in strikeouts, while Braves have hitters like Acuña Jr. (.396 recent average) and Olson, who excel at pitch-to-contact.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Pick: Spencer Schwellenbach

Despite a slow start, the Braves hold an edge in this matchup. Schwellenbach anchors the rotation with strong strikeout-to-walk ratios and WHIP, while Ronald Acuña Jr. has been electric since returning. Their ballpark offensive production complements quality pitching depth.

• He averages 6.7 K/9, with strong K/BB metrics and swing-and-miss arsenal.
• Mets batters strike out frequently—top 10 in MLB average strikeout rate.
• He recorded eight strikeouts two weeks ago at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Pick: Paul Blackburn

The Mets have struggled both at the plate and on the mound, with rotation instability due to injuries and inconsistent debut starts by Blackburn. Their bullpen has fizzled late, and incoming rehab arms may not offer relief just yet.

• Blackburn walked two batters in his last start against the same Braves lineup.
• Braves are aggressive at the plate, drawing more walks than MLB average.
• Instant moneyline props favor this line, with a high implied probability.